(C) Common Dreams
This story was originally published by Common Dreams and is unaltered.
. . . . . . . . . .



Inflation crises and long-run growth [1]

[]

Date: 1998-02-01

Recent articles in the new growth literature find that growth and inflation are negatively related, a finding that is usually thought to reflect a long-run relationship. But the inflation-growth correlation is only present with high frequency data and with extreme inflation observations; there is no cross-sectional correlation between long-run averages of growth and inflation. We propose that examination of discrete high inflation crises (periods when inflation is above some threshold, which we propose to be 40% annual) helps unravel these empirical paradoxes. We establish a robust finding that growth falls sharply during discrete high inflation crises, then recovers rapidly and strongly after inflation falls.

[END]
---
[1] Url: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0304393297000639

Published and (C) by Common Dreams
Content appears here under this condition or license: Creative Commons CC BY-NC-ND 3.0..

via Magical.Fish Gopher News Feeds:
gopher://magical.fish/1/feeds/news/commondreams/

You are viewing proxied material from magical.fish. The copyright of proxied material belongs to its original authors. Any comments or complaints in relation to proxied material should be directed to the original authors of the content concerned. Please see the disclaimer for more details.