4-Nov-86 22:31:57-PST,10438;000000000000
Mail-From: NEUMANN created at  4-Nov-86 22:30:26
Date: Tue 4 Nov 86 22:30:26-PST
From: RISKS FORUM    (Peter G. Neumann -- Coordinator) <[email protected]>
Subject: RISKS DIGEST 4.4
Sender: [email protected]
To: [email protected]

RISKS-LIST: RISKS-FORUM Digest,  Tuesday, 4 November 1986  Volume 4 : Issue 4

          FORUM ON RISKS TO THE PUBLIC IN COMPUTER SYSTEMS
  ACM Committee on Computers and Public Policy, Peter G. Neumann, moderator

Contents:
 Flawed Radars in Air Traffic Control (PGN/UPI)
 The Future of English (risks of technocrats, risks of word processors)
       (Martin Minow)

The RISKS Forum is moderated.  Contributions should be relevant, sound, in good
taste, objective, coherent, concise, nonrepetitious.  Diversity is welcome.
(Contributions to [email protected], Requests to [email protected])
 (Back issues Vol i Issue j available in CSL.SRI.COM:<RISKS>RISKS-i.j.  MAXj:
 Summary Contents Vol 1: RISKS-1.46; Vol 2: RISKS-2.57; Vol 3: RISKS-3.92.)

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Date: Tue 4 Nov 86 09:55:22-PST
From: Peter G. Neumann <[email protected]>
Subject: Flawed Radars in Air Traffic Control
To: [email protected]

           FAA Says It Has Fixed Flawed Radar Systems

Santa Ana (UPI, 4 Nov 86; from the San Francisco Chronicle of that date, p. 40)

Malfunctions in key radar systems that track airliners in Southern California
reached a hazardous level in recent years, but officials said yesterday that
the most serious problems have been found and fixed.  According to Federal
Aviation Administration reports obtained by the Orange County Register,
there were frequent breakdowns in the past four years in the Laguna Radar,
which monitors the area in a 200-mile radius around its perch east of San
Diego, and the San Pedro Radar, which scans a 200-mile circle around the
Palos Verdes Peninsula.  The systems monitor air traffic for Los Angeles
International Airport, John Wayne Airport and Lindbergh Field in San Diego.

The radar malfunctions grew critical enough that the FAA sent tecnicians
from Washington, D.C., to the Air Route Traffic Control Center in Palmdale
two weeks ago to monitor both systems and make adjustments.  Among the
malfunctions were frequent disappearances of airplanes from radar screens
for 15 to 30 minutes and radar displays that show planes in a turn pattern
when they are actually on a straight course.

In some instances, the Register reported, air controllers saw aircraft
"jump" on their radar scopes, which made planes appear to have changed
direction when they had not.  In others, radars tracking plane descents in
an especially busy corridor showed jets traveling faster than they actually
were.  In addition, important altitude data that helps controllers avoid
midair collisions frequently disappeared from radar screens.

FAA official Russell Park confirmed the problem and acknowledged that the
situtation could have been hazardous.  He said the malfunctions played no
part in any collisions, including that of an Aeromexico DC-9 and a small
plane over Cerritos on August 31.  He said the troubleshooting team from
Washington was able to fix the most serious malfunctions quickly.

                        [Quickly?  But this went on for FOUR YEARS?  PGN]

  [By the way, the November 1986 issue of the IEEE SPECTRUM is devoted to
   "Our Burdened Skies", and is a goldmine for those of you interested in
   our air transportation system.]

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Date: 29-Oct-1986 1645
From: minow%[email protected]  (Martin Minow, DECtalk Engineering, ML3-1/U47 223-9922)
To: [email protected]
Subject: The Future of English (risks of technocrats, risks of word processors)

[Prediction]
THE FUTURE OF LANGUAGE

[By Anthony Burgess.  From "2020: A Vision of the Future," in the 17 June 1986
"London Telegraph Sunday Magazine," a special issue devoted to the future.
Burgess is the author of "A Clockwork Orange," "Earthly Powers," "Napoleon
Symphony," "Nineteen Eighty-Five," "Re Joyce," and many other books.]

 Prime ministers speaking to the nation still attempt, like Mrs. Thatcher, to
 use "Standard English" and a supraregional or classless accent.  By 2020
 they will not have to do that.  What they will have to do is speak a kind of
 English that denies the fact of education, avoids allusion to Shakespeare or
 the Bible, and, where it rises above the level of conversational usage,
 gains a pose of learning and authority from the use of technological terms.
 At the same time, with a kind of ultimate authority seeming to be vested in
 the hard but high-flown language of science, there will be more mendacity
 and evasion dressed up as technology.  The Pentagon has already shown the
 way with such expressions as "anticipatory retaliation," which does not
 sound like striking the enemy without due declaration of war.

 America's language is already far advanced in the direction of combining the
 loose colloquial with the cant terms of the technical specialists -- who
 include sociologists and psychologists, as well as cybernetics experts and
 aerospace men.  When not being expertly evasive ("at this time the nuclear
 capability of this nation is not anticipated to assume a role of preemptive
 preparatory action"), it is slangy, unlearned, unwitty, inelegant.  At its
 most disconcerting it combines two modes of discourse: "Now we zero in on
 the nitty-gritty of the suprasegmental prosodic feature and find that we're
 into a different ball game."  It is already, perhaps, the matrix of British
 English of 2020.

 As for the sound of the English of 2020, some of its characteristics are in
 active preparation.  Assimilation -- a natural enough process, which,
 however, must never be allowed to go too far -- is drawing a lot of vowels
 to the middle of the mouth, where the phoneme called schwa (the second
 syllable of "butter," "father;" the first a in "apart") waits like a spider
 for flies.  The "a" of "man" is already a muzzy, neuter sound with the
 young.  Assimilation of consonants is giving us "corm beef: and "tim
 peaches" and "vogka" (Kingsly Amis spotted these in the early seventies).
 Grammar has been simplified, so that most sentences are constructed to the
 "and...and...and..." Biblical formula (hypotactic, to be technical).  Losing
 Latin in our schools, we are finding it hard to understand Milton and to
 appreciate the beauties of the periodic sentence.

 This will get worse.  The English of 2020 will combine structural
 infantilism with hard-nosed technology.  It will be harsh, and it will lack
 both modesty and humor.

 The written word is only a ghost without the solidity of the spoken word to
 give it substance, but to many it seems to be the primary reality.  After
 all, the voices of dead poets and novelists survive only as black marks on
 white paper.  Still, writers write well only when they listen to what they
 are writing -- either on magnetic tape or in the auditorium set silently in
 their skulls.  But more and more writers -- not only of pseudoliterature but
 of political speeches -- ignore the claims of the voice and ear.

 I think that, with the increasing use of the word processor, the separation
 of the word as sound from the word as visual symbol is likely to grow.  The
 magical reality has become the set of signs glowing on a screen: this takes
 precedence over any possible auditory significance.  The speed with which
 words can be set down with such an apparatus (as also with the electric
 typewriter), the total lack of muscular effort involved -- these turn
 writing into a curiously nonphysical activity, in which there is no manual
 analogue to the process of breathing out, using the tongue, lips, and teeth,
 and accepting language as a bodily exercise that expends energy.

 What is wrong with most writing today is its flaccidity, its lack of
 pleasure in the manipulation of sounds and pauses.  The written word is
 becoming inert.  One dreads to think what is will be like in 2020.

 I have never yet ventured a prophecy that came true.  In my little novel
 "Nineteen Eighty-Five" I get nothing except the name of the son of the Prince
 of Wales.  It is altogether possible that, rejecting the easy way of pop
 music, drugs, and television, the youthy of the near future will stage a
 reactionary revolution and go back to Latin, Shakespeare, and the Bible and
 insist on school courses in rhetoric.  But I do not think it likely.

[It should be noted, perhaps, that the Boston Globe recently published an
article that stated the offering of Latin in public high schools has increased
markedly in the last five years.  MM]

Burgess notes that word processors make writing too easy.  You can see the
result in the bloated junk novels, all over 300 pages long, that seem to be
designed only to fill waiting time at airports.

One of my colleagues once edited a computer textbook written by one of the
more important educators in the field (and he is a well-known writer
himself).  He said that "he nearly wore out the delete-paragraph key on the
word-processor."  The bad news is that there seems to be no real interest in
good editing in the commercial marketplace.  I would claim that this is a
direct result of the ease of writing with word processors.
                                                                Martin

 [In a recent memo, EWD976-0, 10 Sep 86, Edsger W. Dijkstra makes a plea
  against bad writing.  One of his suggestions for making it easier on your
  readers was this: ``Avoid if possible using one-letter identifiers that are
  all by themselves words in the language of the surrounding prose, such as
  "U" in Dutch and "a" and "I" in English, as they may confront you with
  unpleasant surprises.  (There is a page by David Gries, in which "I"
  occurs in three different roles: as a personal pronoun, as identifier for
  an invariant and as a Roman numeral! Of course, the reader can sort this
  confusion out, but it is better avoided.)''  EWD via PGN]

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End of RISKS-FORUM Digest
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