Network Working Group                                          D. Thaler
Request for Comments: 5218                                      B. Aboba
Category: Informational                                              IAB
                                                              July 2008


                What Makes for a Successful Protocol?

Status of This Memo

  This memo provides information for the Internet community.  It does
  not specify an Internet standard of any kind.  Distribution of this
  memo is unlimited.

Abstract

  The Internet community has specified a large number of protocols to
  date, and these protocols have achieved varying degrees of success.
  Based on case studies, this document attempts to ascertain factors
  that contribute to or hinder a protocol's success.  It is hoped that
  these observations can serve as guidance for future protocol work.

Table of Contents

  1.  Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  3
    1.1.  What is Success? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  3
    1.2.  Success Dimensions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  3
      1.2.1.  Examples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  4
    1.3.  Effects of Wild Success  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  5
    1.4.  Failure  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6
  2.  Initial Success Factors  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  7
    2.1.  Basic Success Factors  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  7
      2.1.1.  Positive Net Value (Meet a Real Need)  . . . . . . . .  7
      2.1.2.  Incremental Deployability  . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  9
      2.1.3.  Open Code Availability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
      2.1.4.  Freedom from Usage Restrictions  . . . . . . . . . . . 10
      2.1.5.  Open Specification Availability  . . . . . . . . . . . 10
      2.1.6.  Open Maintenance Processes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
      2.1.7.  Good Technical Design  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
    2.2.  Wild Success Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
      2.2.1.  Extensible . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
      2.2.2.  No Hard Scalability Bound  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
      2.2.3.  Threats Sufficiently Mitigated . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
  3.  Conclusions  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
  4.  Security Considerations  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
  5.  Informative References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13





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  Appendix A.  Case Studies  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
    A.1.  HTML/HTTP vs. Gopher and FTP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
      A.1.1.  Initial Success Factors  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
      A.1.2.  Wild Success Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
      A.1.3.  Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
    A.2.  IPv4 vs. IPX . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
      A.2.1.  Initial Success Factors  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
      A.2.2.  Wild Success Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
      A.2.3.  Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
    A.3.  SSH  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
      A.3.1.  Initial Success Factors  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
      A.3.2.  Wild Success Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
      A.3.3.  Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
    A.4.  Inter-Domain IP Multicast vs. Application Overlays . . . 20
      A.4.1.  Initial Success Factors  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
      A.4.2.  Wild Success Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
      A.4.3.  Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
    A.5.  Wireless Application Protocol (WAP)  . . . . . . . . . . . 22
      A.5.1.  Initial Success Factors  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
      A.5.2.  Wild Success Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
      A.5.3.  Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
    A.6.  Wired Equivalent Privacy (WEP) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
      A.6.1.  Initial Success Factors  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
      A.6.2.  Wild Success Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
      A.6.3.  Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
    A.7.  RADIUS vs. TACACS+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
      A.7.1.  Initial Success Factors  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
      A.7.2.  Wild Success Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
      A.7.3.  Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
    A.8.  Network Address Translators (NATs) . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
      A.8.1.  Initial Success Factors  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
      A.8.2.  Wild Success Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
      A.8.3.  Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
  Appendix B.  IAB Members at the Time of This Writing . . . . . . . 26

















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1.  Introduction

  One of the goals of the Internet Engineering Task Force (IETF) is to
  define protocols that successfully meet their implementation and
  deployment goals.  Based on case studies, this document identifies
  some of the factors influencing success and failure of protocol
  designs.  It is hoped that this document will be of use to the
  following audiences:

  o  IESG members deciding whether to charter a Working Group to do
     work on a specific protocol;

  o  Working Group participants selecting among protocol proposals;

  o  Document authors developing a new protocol specification;

  o  Anyone evaluating the success of a protocol experiment.

1.1.  What is Success?

  In discussing the factors that help or hinder the success of a
  protocol, we need to first define what we mean by "success".  A
  protocol can be successful and still not be widely deployed, if it
  meets its original goals.  However, in this document, we consider a
  successful protocol to be one that both meets its original goals and
  is widely deployed.  Note that "widely deployed" does not mean
  "inter-domain"; successful protocols (e.g., DHCP [RFC2131]) may be
  widely deployed solely for intra-domain use.

  The following are examples of successful protocols:

     Inter-domain: IPv4 [RFC0791], TCP [RFC0793], HTTP [RFC2616], DNS
     [RFC1035], BGP [RFC4271], UDP [RFC0768], SMTP [RFC2821], SIP
     [RFC3261].

     Intra-domain: ARP [RFC0826], PPP [RFC1661], DHCP [RFC2131], RIP
     [RFC1058], OSPF [RFC2328], Kerberos [RFC4120], NAT [RFC3022].

1.2.  Success Dimensions

  Two major dimensions on which a protocol can be evaluated are scale
  and purpose.  When designed, a protocol is intended for some range of
  purposes and was designed for use on a particular scale.

  Figure 1 graphically depicts these concepts.






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         Scale ^
               |
               |             +------------+
               |             |            |
               |             |  Original  |
               |             |  Protocol  |
               |             |   Design   |
               |             |   Space    |
               |             |            |
            <-----------------------------------------------> Purpose

                                Figure 1

  According to these metrics, a "successful" protocol is one that is
  used for its original purpose and at the originally intended scale.
  A "wildly successful" protocol far exceeds its original goals, in
  terms of purpose (being used in scenarios far beyond the initial
  design), in terms of scale (being deployed on a scale much greater
  than originally envisaged), or both.  That is, it has overgrown its
  bounds and has ventured out "into the wild".

1.2.1.  Examples

  HTTP is an example of a "wildly successful" protocol that exceeded
  its design in both purpose and scale:

      Scale ^  +---------------------------------------+
            |  | Actual Deployment                     |
            |  |                                       |
            |  |                                       |
            |  |            +------------+             |
            |  |            |  Original  |             |
            |  | (Web       |   Design   | (Firewall   |
            |  |  Services) |   Space    |  Traversal) |
            |  |            |   (Web)    |             |
         <-----------------------------------------------> Purpose

  Another example of a wildly successful protocol is IPv4.  Although it
  was designed for all purposes ("Everything over IP and IP over
  Everything"), it has been deployed on a far greater scale than that
  for which it was originally designed; the limited address space only
  became an issue after it had already vastly surpassed its original
  design.

  Another example of a successful protocol is ARP.  Originally intended
  for a more general purpose (namely, resolving network layer addresses
  to link layer addresses, regardless of the media type or network
  layer protocol), ARP was widely deployed for a narrower scope of uses



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  (resolution of IPv4 addresses to Ethernet MAC addresses), but then
  was adopted for other uses such as detecting network attachment
  (Detecting Network Attachment in IPv4 (DNAv4) [RFC4436]).  Also, like
  IPv4, ARP is deployed on a much greater scale (in terms of number of
  machines, but not number on the same subnet) than originally
  expected.

      Scale ^  +-------------------+
            |  | Actual Deployment |
            |  |                   |
            |  |                   |   Original Design Space
            |  |     +-------------+--------------+
            |  |     |(IP/Ethernet)|(Non-IP)      |
            |  |(DNA)|             |              |
            |  |     |             |(Non-Ethernet)|
            |  |     |             |              |
         <-----------------------------------------------> Purpose

1.3.  Effects of Wild Success

  Wild success can be both good and bad.  A wildly successful protocol
  is so useful that it can solve more problems or address more
  scenarios or devices.  This may indicate that it is time to revise
  the protocol to better accommodate the new design space.

  However, if a protocol is used for a purpose other than what it was
  designed for:

  o  There may be undesirable side effects because of design decisions
     that are appropriate for the originally intended purpose, but
     inappropriate for the new purpose.

  o  There may be performance problems if the protocol was not designed
     to scale to the extent to which it was deployed.

  o  Implementers may attempt to add or change functionality to work
     around the design limitations without complete understanding of
     their effect on the overall protocol behavior and invariants.

  o  Wildly successful protocols become high value targets for
     attackers because of their popularity and the potential for
     exploitation of uses or extensions that are less well understood
     and tested than the original protocol.

  A wildly successful protocol is therefore vulnerable to "death by
  success", collapsing as a result of attacks or scaling limitations.





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1.4.  Failure

  Failure, or the lack of success, cannot be determined before allowing
  sufficient time to pass (e.g., 5-10 years for an average protocol).
  Failure criteria include:

  o  No mainstream implementations.  There is little or no support in
     hosts, routers, or other classes of relevant devices.

  o  No deployment.  Devices that support the protocol are not
     deployed, or if they are, then the protocol is not enabled.

  o  No use.  While the protocol may be deployed, there are no
     applications or scenarios that actually use the protocol.

  At the time a protocol is first designed, the three above conditions
  hold, which is why it is important to allow sufficient time to pass
  before evaluating the success or failure of a protocol.

  The lack of a value chain can make it difficult for a new protocol to
  progress from implementation to deployment to use.  While the term
  "chicken-and-egg" problem is sometimes used to describe the lack of a
  value chain, the lack of implementation, deployment, or use is not
  the cause of failure, it is merely a symptom.

  There are many strategies that have been used in the past for
  overcoming the initial lack of implementations, deployment, and use,
  although none of these guarantee success.  For example:

  o  Address a critical and imminent problem.  If the need is severe
     enough, the industry is incented to adopt it as soon as
     implementations exist, and well-known need is sufficient to
     motivate implementations.  For example, NAT provided an immediate
     address sharing capability to the individual deploying it
     (Appendix A.8).  Thus, when creating a protocol, consider whether
     it can be easily tailored or expanded to directly target a
     critical problem; if it only solves part of the problem, consider
     what would be needed in addition.

  o  Provide a "killer app" with low deployment costs.  This strategy
     can be used to generate demand where none existed before.  See the
     HTTP case study in Appendix A.1 for an example.

  o  Provide value for existing unmodified applications.  This solves
     the chicken-and-egg problem by ensuring that use exists as soon as
     the protocol is deployed, and therefore, the benefit can be
     realized immediately.  See the Wired Equivalent Privacy (WEP) case
     study in Appendix A.6 for an example.



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  o  Reduce complexity and cost by narrowing the intended purpose
     and/or scope to an area where it is easiest to succeed.  This may
     allow removing complexity that is not required for the narrow
     purpose.  Removing complexity reduces the cost of implementation
     and deployment to where the resulting cost may be very low
     compared to the benefit.  For example, link-scoped multicast is
     far more successful than, say, inter-domain multicast (see
     Appendix A.4).

  o  A government or other entity may provide incentives or
     disincentives that motivate implementation and deployment.  For
     example, specific cryptographic algorithms may be mandated.  As
     another example, Japan started an economic incentive program to
     generate IPv6 [RFC2460] implementations and deployment.

  As we will see, such strategies are often successful because they
  directly target the top success factors.

2.  Initial Success Factors

  In this section, we identify factors that contribute to success and
  "wild" success.

  Note that a successful protocol will not necessarily include all the
  success factors, and some success factors may be present even in
  failed designs.  Nevertheless, experience appears to indicate that
  the presence of success factors seems to improve the probability of
  success.

  The success factors, and their relative importance, were suggested by
  a series of case studies (Appendix A).

2.1.  Basic Success Factors

2.1.1.  Positive Net Value (Meet a Real Need)

  It is critical to the success of a protocol that the benefits of
  deploying the protocol (monetary or otherwise) outweigh the costs,
  which include:

  o  Hardware cost: Protocols that don't require hardware changes are
     easier to deploy than those that do.  Overlay networks are one way
     to avoid requiring hardware changes.  However, often hardware
     updates are required even for protocols whose functionality could
     be provided solely in software.  Vendors often implement new






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     functionality only within later branches of the code tree, which
     may only run on new hardware.  As a result, the safest way to
     avoid hardware upgrade cost is to design for backward
     compatibility with both existing hardware and software.

  o  Operational interference: Protocols that don't require changes to
     other operational processes and tools are easier to deploy than
     ones that do.  For example, IPsec [RFC4301] interferes with
     NetFlow [RFC3954] deep packet inspection, which can be important
     to operators.

  o  Retraining: Protocols that have no configuration, or are very easy
     to configure/manage, are cheaper to deploy.

  o  Business dependencies: Protocols that don't require changes to a
     business model (whether for implementers or deployers) are easier
     to deploy than ones that do.  There are costs associated with
     changing billing and accounting systems and retraining of
     associated personnel, and in addition, the assumptions on which
     the previous business model was based may change.  For example,
     some time ago many service providers had business models built
     around dial-up with an assumption that machines were not connected
     all the time; protocols that desired always-on connectivity
     required the business model to change since the networks were not
     optimized for always-on.  Similarly, some service providers have
     business models that assume that upstream bandwidth is
     underutilized; peer-to-peer protocols may require this business
     model to change.  Finally, many service providers have business
     models based on charging for the amount of bandwidth consumed on
     the link to a customer; multicast protocols interfere with this
     business model since they provide a way for a customer to consume
     less bandwidth on the source link by sending multicast traffic, as
     opposed to paying more to source many unicast streams, without
     having some other mechanism to cover the cost of replication in
     the network (e.g., router CPU, downstream link bandwidth, extra
     management).  Multicast protocols also complicate business models
     based on charging the source of traffic based on the amount of
     multicast replication, since the source may not be able to predict
     the cost until a bill is received.

  Similarly, there are many types of benefits, including:

  o  Relieving pain: Protocols that drastically lower costs (monetary
     or otherwise) that exist prior to deploying the protocol are
     easier to show direct benefit from, since they address a burning
     need.





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  o  Enabling new scenarios: Protocols that enable new capabilities,
     scenarios, or user experiences can provide significant value,
     although the benefit may be harder to realize, as there may be
     more risk involved.

  o  Incremental improvements: Protocols that provide incremental
     improvements (e.g., better video quality) generate a small
     benefit, and hence can be successful as long as the cost is small.

  There are at least two example cases of cost/benefits tradeoffs.  In
  the first case, even upon initial deployment, the benefit outweighs
  the cost.  In the second case, there is an upfront cost that
  outweighs the initial benefit, but the benefit grows over time (e.g.,
  as more nodes or applications support it).  The former model is much
  easier to get initial deployment, but over time both can be
  successful.  The second model has a danger for the initial
  deployments, that if others don't deploy the protocol then the
  initial deployers have lost value, and so they must take on some risk
  in deploying the protocol.

  Success most easily comes when the natural incentive structure is
  aligned with the deployment requirements.  That is, those who are
  required to deploy, manage, or configure something are the same as
  those who gain the most benefit.  In summary, it is best if there is
  significant positive net value at each organization where a change is
  required.

2.1.2.  Incremental Deployability

  A protocol is incrementally deployable if early adopters gain some
  benefit even though the rest of the Internet does not support the
  protocol.  There are several aspects to this.

  Protocols that can be deployed by a single group or team (e.g.,
  intra-domain) have a greater chance of success than those that
  require cooperation across organizations (or, in the worst case
  require a "flag day" where everyone has to change simultaneously).
  For example, protocols that don't require changes to infrastructure
  (e.g., router changes, service provider support, etc.) have a greater
  chance of success than ones that do, since less coordination is
  needed, NAT being a canonical example.  Similarly, protocols that
  provide benefit when only one end changes have a greater chance of
  success than ones that require both ends of communication to support
  the protocol.

  Finally, protocol updates that are backward compatible with older
  implementations have a greater chance of success than ones that
  aren't.



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2.1.3.  Open Code Availability

  Protocols with freely available implementation code have a greater
  chance of success than protocols without.  Often, this is more
  important than any technical consideration.  For example, it can be
  argued that when deciding between IPv4 and Internetwork Packet
  Exchange (IPX) [IPX], this was the determining factor, even though,
  in many ways, IPX was technically superior to IPv4.  Similar
  arguments have been made for the success of RADIUS [RFC2865] over
  TACACS+ [TACACS+].  See Appendix A for further discussion.

2.1.4.  Freedom from Usage Restrictions

  Freedom from usage restrictions means that anyone who wishes to
  implement or deploy can do so without legal or financial hindrance.
  Within the IETF, this point often comes up when evaluating between
  technologies, one of which has known Intellectual Property associated
  with it.  Often the industry chooses the one with no known
  Intellectual Property, even if it is technically inferior.

2.1.5.  Open Specification Availability

  Open specification availability means the protocol specification is
  made available to anyone who wishes to use it.  This is true for all
  Internet Drafts and RFCs, and it has contributed to the success of
  protocol specifications developed within or contributed to the IETF.

  The various aspects of this factor include:

  o  World-wide distribution: Is the specification accessible from
     anywhere in the world?

  o  Unrestricted distribution: Are there no legal restrictions on
     getting the specification?

  o  Permanence: Does the specification remain even after the creator
     is gone?

  o  Stability: Is there a stable version of the specification that
     does not change?

2.1.6.  Open Maintenance Processes

  This factor means that the protocol is maintained by open processes,
  mechanisms exist for public comment on the protocol, and the protocol
  maintenance process allows the participation of all constituencies
  that are affected by the protocol.




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2.1.7.  Good Technical Design

  This factor means that the protocol follows good design principles
  that lead to ease of implementation and interoperability, such as
  those described in "Architectural Principles of the Internet"
  [RFC1958].  For example, simplicity, modularity, and robustness to
  failures are all key design factors.  Similarly, clarity in
  specifications is another aspect of good technical design that
  facilitates interoperability and ease of implementation.  However,
  experience shows that good technical design has minimal impact on
  initial success compared with other factors.

2.2.  Wild Success Factors

  The following factors do not seem to significantly affect initial
  success, but can affect whether a protocol becomes wildly successful.

2.2.1.  Extensible

  Protocols that are extensible are more likely to be wildly successful
  in terms of being used for purposes outside their original design.
  An extensible protocol may carry general purpose payloads/options, or
  may be easy to add a new payload/option type.  Such extensibility is
  desirable for protocols that intend to apply to all purposes (like
  IP).  However, for protocols designed for a specialized purpose,
  extensibility should be carefully considered before including it.

2.2.2.  No Hard Scalability Bound

  Protocols that have no inherent limit near the edge of the originally
  envisioned scale are more likely to be wildly successful in terms of
  scale.  For example, IPv4 had no inherent limit near its originally
  envisioned scale; the address space limit was not hit until it was
  already wildly successful in terms of scale.  Another type of
  inherent limit would be a performance "knee" that causes a meltdown
  (e.g., a broadcast storm) once a scaling limit is passed.

2.2.3.  Threats Sufficiently Mitigated

  The more successful a protocol becomes, the more attractive a target
  it will be.  Protocols with security flaws may still become wildly
  successful provided that they are extensible enough to allow the
  flaws to be addressed in subsequent revisions.  Examples include
  Secure SHell version 1 (SSHv1) and IEEE 802.11 with WEP.  However,
  the combination of security flaws and limited extensibility tends to
  be deadly.  For example, some early server-based multiplayer games
  ultimately failed due to insufficient protections against cheating,
  even though they were initially successful.



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3.  Conclusions

  The case studies described in Appendix A indicate that the most
  important initial success factors are filling a real need and being
  incrementally deployable.  When there are competing proposals of
  comparable benefit and deployability, open specifications and code
  become significant success factors.  Open source availability is
  initially more important than open specification maintenance.

  In most cases, technical quality was not a primary factor in initial
  success.  Indeed, many successful protocols would not pass IESG
  review today.  Technically inferior proposals can win if they are
  openly available.  Factors that do not seem to be significant in
  determining initial success (but may affect wild success) include
  good design, security, and having an open specification maintenance
  process.

  Many of the case studies concern protocols originally developed
  outside the IETF, which the IETF played a role in improving only
  after initial success was certain.  While the IETF focuses on design
  quality, which is not a factor in determining initial protocol
  success, once a protocol succeeds, a good technical design may be key
  to it staying successful, or in dealing with wild success.  Allowing
  extensibility in an initial design enables initial shortcomings to be
  addressed.

  Security vulnerabilities do not seem to limit initial success, since
  vulnerabilities often become interesting to attackers only after the
  protocol becomes widely deployed enough to become a useful target.
  Finally, open specification maintenance is not important to initial
  success since many successful protocols were initially developed
  outside the IETF or other standards bodies, and were only
  standardized later.

  In light of our conclusions, we recommend that the following
  questions be asked when evaluating protocol designs:

  o  Does the protocol exhibit one or more of the critical initial
     success factors?

  o  Are there implementers who are ready to implement the technology
     in ways that are likely to be deployed?

  o  Are there customers (especially high-profile customers) who are
     ready to deploy the technology?

  o  Are there potential niches where the technology is compelling?




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  o  If so, can complexity be removed to reduce cost?

  o  Is there a potential killer app?  Or can the technology work
     underneath existing unmodified applications?

  o  Is the protocol sufficiently extensible to allow potential
     deficiencies to be addressed in the future?

  o  If it is not known whether the protocol will be successful, should
     the market decide first?  Or should the IETF work on multiple
     alternatives and let the market decide among them?  Are there
     factors listed in this document that may predict which is more
     likely to succeed?

  In the early stages (e.g., BOFs, design of new protocols), evaluating
  the initial success factors is important in facilitating success.
  Similarly, efforts to revise unsuccessful protocols should evaluate
  whether the initial success factors (or enough of them) were present,
  rather than focusing on wild success, which is not yet a problem.
  For a revision of a successful protocol, on the other hand, focusing
  on the wild success factors is more appropriate.

4.  Security Considerations

  This document discusses attributes that affect the success of
  protocols.  It has no specific security implications.
  Recommendations on security in protocol design can be found in
  [RFC3552].

5.  Informative References

  [IEEE-802.11]  IEEE, "Wireless LAN Medium Access Control (MAC) and
                 Physical Layer (PHY) Specifications", ANSI/IEEE
                 Std 802.11, 2007.

  [IMODE]        NTT DoCoMo, "i-mode",
                 <http://www.nttdocomo.com/services/imode/index.html>.

  [IPX]          Novell, "IPX Router Specification", Novell Part
                 Number 107-000029-001, 1992.

  [ISO-8879]     ISO, "Information processing -- Text and office
                 systems -- Standard Generalized Markup Language
                 (SGML)", ISO 8879, 1986.

  [RFC0768]      Postel, J., "User Datagram Protocol", STD 6, RFC 768,
                 August 1980.




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  [RFC0791]      Postel, J., "Internet Protocol", STD 5, RFC 791,
                 September 1981.

  [RFC0793]      Postel, J., "Transmission Control Protocol", STD 7,
                 RFC 793, September 1981.

  [RFC0826]      Plummer, D., "Ethernet Address Resolution Protocol: Or
                 converting network protocol addresses to 48.bit
                 Ethernet address for transmission on Ethernet
                 hardware", STD 37, RFC 826, November 1982.

  [RFC0959]      Postel, J. and J. Reynolds, "File Transfer Protocol",
                 STD 9, RFC 959, October 1985.

  [RFC1035]      Mockapetris, P., "Domain names - implementation and
                 specification", STD 13, RFC 1035, November 1987.

  [RFC1058]      Hedrick, C., "Routing Information Protocol", RFC 1058,
                 June 1988.

  [RFC1436]      Anklesaria, F., McCahill, M., Lindner, P., Johnson,
                 D., Torrey, D., and B. Alberti, "The Internet Gopher
                 Protocol (a distributed document search and retrieval
                 protocol)", RFC 1436, March 1993.

  [RFC1661]      Simpson, W., "The Point-to-Point Protocol (PPP)",
                 STD 51, RFC 1661, July 1994.

  [RFC1866]      Berners-Lee, T. and D. Connolly, "Hypertext Markup
                 Language - 2.0", RFC 1866, November 1995.

  [RFC1958]      Carpenter, B., "Architectural Principles of the
                 Internet", RFC 1958, June 1996.

  [RFC2131]      Droms, R., "Dynamic Host Configuration Protocol",
                 RFC 2131, March 1997.

  [RFC2328]      Moy, J., "OSPF Version 2", STD 54, RFC 2328,
                 April 1998.

  [RFC2460]      Deering, S. and R. Hinden, "Internet Protocol, Version
                 6 (IPv6) Specification", RFC 2460, December 1998.

  [RFC2616]      Fielding, R., Gettys, J., Mogul, J., Frystyk, H.,
                 Masinter, L., Leach, P., and T. Berners-Lee,
                 "Hypertext Transfer Protocol -- HTTP/1.1", RFC 2616,
                 June 1999.




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  [RFC2821]      Klensin, J., "Simple Mail Transfer Protocol",
                 RFC 2821, April 2001.

  [RFC2865]      Rigney, C., Willens, S., Rubens, A., and W. Simpson,
                 "Remote Authentication Dial In User Service (RADIUS)",
                 RFC 2865, June 2000.

  [RFC3022]      Srisuresh, P. and K. Egevang, "Traditional IP Network
                 Address Translator (Traditional NAT)", RFC 3022,
                 January 2001.

  [RFC3261]      Rosenberg, J., Schulzrinne, H., Camarillo, G.,
                 Johnston, A., Peterson, J., Sparks, R., Handley, M.,
                 and E. Schooler, "SIP: Session Initiation Protocol",
                 RFC 3261, June 2002.

  [RFC3552]      Rescorla, E. and B. Korver, "Guidelines for Writing
                 RFC Text on Security Considerations", BCP 72,
                 RFC 3552, July 2003.

  [RFC3954]      Claise, B., "Cisco Systems NetFlow Services Export
                 Version 9", RFC 3954, October 2004.

  [RFC4120]      Neuman, C., Yu, T., Hartman, S., and K. Raeburn, "The
                 Kerberos Network Authentication Service (V5)",
                 RFC 4120, July 2005.

  [RFC4251]      Ylonen, T. and C. Lonvick, "The Secure Shell (SSH)
                 Protocol Architecture", RFC 4251, January 2006.

  [RFC4271]      Rekhter, Y., Li, T., and S. Hares, "A Border Gateway
                 Protocol 4 (BGP-4)", RFC 4271, January 2006.

  [RFC4301]      Kent, S. and K. Seo, "Security Architecture for the
                 Internet Protocol", RFC 4301, December 2005.

  [RFC4436]      Aboba, B., Carlson, J., and S. Cheshire, "Detecting
                 Network Attachment in IPv4 (DNAv4)", RFC 4436,
                 March 2006.

  [RFC4864]      Van de Velde, G., Hain, T., Droms, R., Carpenter, B.,
                 and E. Klein, "Local Network Protection for IPv6",
                 RFC 4864, May 2007.

  [TACACS+]      Carrel, D. and L. Grant, "The TACACS+ Protocol,
                 Version 1.78", Work in Progress, January 1997.





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  [WAP]          Open Mobile Alliance, "Wireless Application Protocol
                 Architecture Specification", <http://
                 www.openmobilealliance.org/tech/affiliates/
                 LicenseAgreement.asp?DocName=/wap/
                 wap-210-waparch-20010712-a.pdf>.














































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Appendix A.  Case Studies

  In this Appendix, we include several case studies to illustrate the
  importance of potential success factors.  Many other equally good
  case studies could have been included, but, in the interests of
  brevity, only a sampling is included here that is sufficient to
  justify the conclusions in the body of this document.

A.1.  HTML/HTTP vs. Gopher and FTP

A.1.1.  Initial Success Factors

  Positive net value: HTTP [RFC2616] with HTML [RFC1866] provided
  substantially more value than Gopher [RFC1436] and FTP [RFC0959].
  Among other things, HTML/HTTP provided support for forms, which
  opened the door for commercial uses of the technology.  In this
  sense, it enabled new scenarios.  Furthermore, it only required
  changes by entities that received benefits; hence, the cost and
  benefits were aligned.

  Incremental deployability: Browsers and servers were incrementally
  deployable, but initial browsers were also backward compatible with
  existing protocols such as FTP and Gopher.

  Open code availability: Server code was open.  Client source code was
  initially open to academic use only.

  Restriction-free: Academic use licenses were freely available.  HTML
  encumbrance only surfaced later.

  Open specification availability: Yes.

  Open maintenance process: Not at first, but eventually.  This
  illustrates that it is not necessary to have an open maintenance
  process at first to achieve success.  The maintenance process becomes
  important after initial success.

  Good technical design: Fair.  Initially, there was no support for
  graphics, HTML was missing many SGML [ISO-8879] features, and HTTP
  1.0 had issues with congestion control and proxy support.  These
  sorts of issues would typically prevent IESG approval today.
  However, they did not prevent the protocol from becoming successful.









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A.1.2.  Wild Success Factors

  Extensible: Extensibility was excellent along multiple dimensions,
  including HTTP, HTML, graphics, forms, Java, JavaScript, etc.

  No hard scalability bound: Excellent.  There was no registration
  process, as there was with Gopher, which allowed it to scale much
  better.

  Threats sufficiently mitigated: No.  There was initially no support
  for confidentiality (e.g., protection of credit card numbers), and
  HTTP 1.0 had cleartext passwords in Basic auth.

A.1.3.  Discussion

  HTML/HTTP addressed scenarios that no other protocol addressed.
  Since deployment was easy, the protocol quickly took off.  Only after
  HTML/HTTP became successful did security become an issue.  HTML/
  HTTP's initial success occurred outside the IETF, although HTTP was
  later standardized and refined, addressing some of the limitations.

A.2.  IPv4 vs. IPX

A.2.1.  Initial Success Factors

  Positive net value: There were initially many competitors, including
  IPX, AppleTalk, NetBEUI, OSI, and DECNet.  All of them had positive
  net value.  However, NetBEUI and DECNet were not designed for
  internetworking, which limited scalability and eventually stunted
  their growth.

  Incremental deployability: None of the competitors (including IPv4)
  had incremental deployability, although there were few enough nodes
  that a flag day was manageable at the time.

  Open code availability: IPv4 had open code from BSD, whereas IPX did
  not.  Many argue that this was the primary reason for IPv4's success.

  Restriction-free: Yes for IPv4; No for IPX.

  Open specification availability: Yes for IPv4; No for IPX.

  Open maintenance process: Yes for IPv4; No for IPX.

  Good technical design: The initial design of IPv4 was fair, but
  arguably IPX was initially better.  Improvements to IPv4 such as DHCP
  came much later.




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A.2.2.  Wild Success Factors

  Extensible: Both IPv4 and IPX were extensible to new transports, new
  link types, and new applications.

  No hard scalability bound: Neither had a hard scalability bound close
  to the design goals.  IPX arguably scaled higher before hitting any
  bound.

  Threats sufficiently mitigated: Neither IPv4 nor IPX had threats
  sufficiently mitigated.

A.2.3.  Discussion

  Initially, it wasn't clear that IPv4 would win.  There were also
  other competitors, such as OSI.  However, the Advanced Research
  Projects Agency (ARPA) funded IPv4 implementation on BSD and this
  open source initiative led to many others picking up IPv4, which
  ultimately made a difference in IPv4 succeeding rather than its
  competitors.  Even though IPX initially had a technically superior
  design, IPv4 succeeded because of its openness.

A.3.  SSH

A.3.1.  Initial Success Factors

  Positive net value: SSH [RFC4251] provided greater value than
  competitors.  Kerberized telnet required deployment of a Kerberos
  server.  IPsec required a public key infrastructure (PKI) or pre-
  shared key authentication.  While the benefits were comparable, the
  overall costs of the alternatives were much higher, and they
  potentially required deployment by entities that did not directly
  receive benefit.  Hence, unlike the alternatives, the cost and
  benefits of SSH were aligned.

  Incremental deployability: Yes, SSH required SSH clients and servers,
  but did not require a key distribution center (KDC) or credential
  pre-configuration.

  Open code availability: Yes

  Restriction-free: It is unclear whether SSH was truly restriction-
  free or not.

  Open specification availability: Not at first, but eventually.

  Open maintenance process: Not at first, but eventually.




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  Good technical design: SSHv1 was fair.  It had a number of technical
  issues that were addressed in SSHv2.

A.3.2.  Wild Success Factors

  Extensibility: Good.  SSH allowed adding new authentication
  mechanisms.

  No hard scalability bound: SSH had excellent scalability properties.

  Threats sufficiently mitigated: No.  SSHv1 was vulnerable to man-in-
  the-middle attacks.

A.3.3.  Discussion

  The "leap of faith" trust model (accept an untrusted certificate the
  first time you connect) was initially criticized by "experts", but
  was popular with users.  It provided vastly more functionality and
  didn't require a KDC and so was easy to deploy.  These factors made
  SSH a clear winner.

A.4.  Inter-Domain IP Multicast vs. Application Overlays

  We now look at a protocol that has not been successful (i.e., has not
  met its original design goals) after a long period of time has
  passed.  Note that this discussion applies only to inter-domain
  multicast, not intra-domain or intra-subnet multicast.

A.4.1.  Initial Success Factors

  Positive net value: Unclear.  When many receivers of the same stream
  exist, the benefit relieves pain near the sender, and in some cases
  enables new scenarios.  However, when few receivers exist, the
  benefits are only incremental improvements when compared with
  multiple streams.  While there was positive value in bandwidth
  savings, this was offset by the lack of viable business models, and
  lack of tools.  Hence, the costs generally outweighed the benefits.

  Furthermore, the costs are not necessarily aligned with the benefits.
  Inter-domain Multicast requires changes by (at least) applications,
  hosts, and routers.  However, it is the applications that get the
  primary benefit.  For application layer overlaps, on the other hand,
  only the applications need to change, and hence the cost is lower
  (and so are the benefits), and cost and benefits are aligned.

  Incremental deployability: Poor for inter-domain multicast, since it
  required every router in the end-to-end path between a source and any
  receiver to support multicast.  This severely limited the



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  deployability of native multicast.  Initially, the strategy was to
  use an overlay network (the Multicast Backbone (MBone)) to work
  around this.  However, the overlay network eventually suffered from
  performance problems at high fan-out points, and so adding another
  node required more coordination with other organizations to find
  someone that was not overloaded and agreed to forward traffic on
  behalf of the new node.

  Incremental deployability was good for application-layer overlays,
  since only the applications need to change.  However, benefit only
  exists when the sender(s) and receivers both support the overlay
  mechanism.

  Open code availability: Yes.

  Restriction-free: Yes.

  Open specification availability: Yes for inter-domain multicast.
  Application-layer overlays are not standardized, but left to each
  application.

  Open maintenance process: Yes for inter-domain multicast.
  Application-layer overlays are not standardized, but left to each
  application.

  Good technical design: This is debatable for inter-domain multicast.
  In many respects, the technical design is very efficient.  In other
  respects, it results in per-connection state in all intermediate
  routers, which is questionable at best.  Application-layer overlays
  do not have the disadvantage, but receive a smaller benefit.

A.4.2.  Wild Success Factors

  Extensible: Yes.

  No hard scalability bound: Inter-domain multicast had scalability
  issues in terms of number of groups, and in terms of number of
  sources.  It scaled extremely well in terms of number of receivers.
  Application-layer overlays scale well in all dimensions, except that
  they do not scale as well as inter-domain multicast in terms of
  bandwidth since they still result in multiple streams over the same
  link.

  Threats sufficiently mitigated: No for inter-domain-multicast, since
  untrusted hosts can create state in intermediate routers along an
  entire path.  Better for application-layer multicast.





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A.4.3.  Discussion

  Because the benefits weren't enough to outweigh the costs for
  entities (service providers and application developers) to use it,
  instead the industry has tended to choose application overlays with
  replicated unicast.

A.5.  Wireless Application Protocol (WAP)

  The Wireless Application Protocol (WAP) [WAP] is another protocol
  that has not been successful, but is worth comparing against other
  protocols.

A.5.1.  Initial Success Factors

  Positive net value: Compared to competitors such as HTTP/TCP/IP, and
  NTT DoCoMo's i-mode [IMODE], the relative value of WAP is unclear.
  It suffered from a poor experience, and a lack of tools.

  Incremental deployability: Poor.  WAP required a WAP-to-HTTP proxy in
  the service provider and WAP support in phones; adding a new site
  often required participation by the service provider.

  Open code availability: No.

  Restriction-free: No.  WAP has two patents with royalties required.

  Open specification availability: No.

  Open maintenance process: No, there was a US$27000 entrance fee.

  Good technical design: No, a common complaint was that WAP was
  underspecified and hence interoperability was difficult.

A.5.2.  Wild Success Factors

  Extensible: Unknown.

  No hard scalability bound: Excellent.

  Threats sufficiently mitigated: Unknown.

A.5.3.  Discussion

  There were a number of close competitors to WAP.  Incremental
  deployability was easier with the competitors, and the restrictions
  on code and specification access were significant factors that
  hindered its ability to succeed.



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A.6.  Wired Equivalent Privacy (WEP)

  WEP is a part of the IEEE 802.11 standard [IEEE-802.11], which
  succeeded in being widely deployed in spite of its faults.

A.6.1.  Initial Success Factors

  Positive net value: Yes.  WEP provided security when there was no
  alternative, and it only required changes by entities that got
  benefit.

  Incremental deployability: Yes.  Although one needed to configure
  both the access point and stations, each wireless network could
  independently deploy WEP.

  Open code availability: Essentially no, because of Rivest Cipher 4
  (RC4).

  Restriction-free: No for RC4, but otherwise yes.

  Open specification availability: No for RC4, but otherwise yes.

  Open maintenance process: Yes.

  Good technical design: No, WEP had an inappropriate use of RC4.

A.6.2.  Wild Success Factors

  Extensible: IEEE 802.11 was extensible enough to enable development
  of replacements for WEP.  However, WEP itself was not extensible.

  No hard scalability bound: No.

  Threats sufficiently mitigated: No.

A.6.3.  Discussion

  Even though WEP was not completely open and restriction free, and did
  not have a good technical design, it still became successful because
  it was incrementally deployable and it provided significant value
  when there was no alternative.  This again shows that value and
  deployability are more significant success factors than technical
  design or openness, particularly when no alternatives exist.








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A.7.  RADIUS vs. TACACS+

A.7.1.  Initial Success Factors

  Positive net value: Yes for both, and it only required changes by
  entities that got benefit.

  Incremental deployability: Yes for both (just change clients and
  servers).

  Open code availability: Yes for RADIUS; initially no for TACACS+, but
  eventually yes.

  Restriction-free: Yes for RADIUS; unclear for TACACS+.

  Open specification availability: Yes for RADIUS; initially no for
  TACACS+, but eventually yes.

  Open maintenance process: Initially no for RADIUS, but eventually
  yes.  No for TACACS+.

  Good technical design: Fair for RADIUS (there was no confidentiality
  support, and no authentication of Access Requests; it had home grown
  ciphersuites based on MD5).  Good for TACACS+.

A.7.2.  Wild Success Factors

  Extensible: Yes for both.

  No hard scalability bound: Excellent for RADIUS (UDP-based); good for
  TACACS+ (TCP-based).

  Threats sufficiently mitigated: No for RADIUS (no support for
  confidentiality, existing implementations are vulnerable to
  dictionary attacks, use of MD5 now vulnerable to collisions).
  TACACS+ was better since it supported encryption.

A.7.3.  Discussion

  Since both provided positive net value and were incrementally
  deployable, those factors were not significant.  Even though TACACS+
  had a better technical design in most respects, and eventually
  provided openly available specifications and source code, the fact
  that RADIUS had an open maintenance process as well as openly
  available specifications and source code early on was the determining
  factor.  This again shows that having a better technical design is
  less important in determining success than other factors.




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A.8.  Network Address Translators (NATs)

  Although NAT is not, strictly speaking, a "protocol" per se, but
  rather a "mechanism" or "algorithm", we include a case study since
  there are many mechanisms that only require a single entity to change
  to reap the benefit (TCP congestion control algorithms are another
  example in this class), and it is important to include this class of
  mechanisms in the discussion since it exemplifies a key point in the
  discussion of incremental deployability.

A.8.1.  Initial Success Factors

  Positive net value: Yes.  NATs provided the ability to connect
  multiple devices when only a limited number of addresses were
  available, and also provided a (limited) security boundary as a side
  effect.  Hence, it both relieved pain involved with acquiring
  multiple addresses, as well as enabled new scenarios.  Finally, it
  only required deployment by the entity that got the benefit.

  Incremental deployability: Yes.  One could deploy a NAT without
  coordinating with anyone else, including a service provider.

  Open code availability: Yes.

  Restriction-free: Yes at first (patents subsequently surfaced).

  Open specification availability: Yes.

  Open maintenance process: Yes.

  Good technical design: Fair.  NAT functionality was underspecified,
  leading to unpredictable behavior in general.  In addition, NATs
  caused problems for certain classes of applications.

A.8.2.  Wild Success Factors

  Extensible: Fair.  NATs supported some but not all UDP and TCP
  applications.  Adding application layer gateway functionality was
  difficult.

  No hard scalability bound: Good.  There is a scalability bound
  (number of ports available), but none near the original design goals.

  Threats sufficiently mitigated: Yes.







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A.8.3.  Discussion

  The absence of an unambiguous specification was not a hindrance to
  initial success since the test cases weren't well defined; therefore,
  each implementation could decide for itself what scenarios it would
  handle correctly.

  Even with its technical problems, NAT succeeded because of the value
  it provided.  Again, this shows that the industry is willing to
  accept technically problematic solutions when there is no alternative
  and the technology is easy to deploy.

  Indeed, NAT became wildly successful by being used for additional
  purposes [RFC4864], and to a large scale including multiple levels of
  NATs in places.

Appendix B.  IAB Members at the Time of This Writing

  Loa Andersson
  Leslie Daigle
  Elwyn Davies
  Kevin Fall
  Russ Housley
  Olaf Kolkman
  Barry Leiba
  Kurtis Lindqvist
  Danny McPherson
  David Oran
  Eric Rescorla
  Dave Thaler
  Lixia Zhang




















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Authors' Addresses

  Dave Thaler
  IAB
  One Microsoft Way
  Redmond, WA  98052
  USA

  Phone: +1 425 703 8835
  EMail: [email protected]

  Bernard Aboba
  IAB
  One Microsoft Way
  Redmond, WA  98052
  USA

  Phone: +1 425 706 6605
  EMail: [email protected]
































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Full Copyright Statement

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