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| #Post#: 608-------------------------------------------------- | |
| Debate 6 | |
| By: Dr Schizo Date: October 12, 2022, 5:42 am | |
| --------------------------------------------------------- | |
| [quote author=wows link=topic=106.msg607#msg607 date=1665568688] | |
| The second conspiracy is that i get less coal those days now fro | |
| mthe loot boxes compared what i used to get. Coal income changed | |
| after they introduced boosters. | |
| [/quote] | |
| Greetings, | |
| I think your experience with gold members can be counted into my | |
| work on the Ranked conspiracy, however it is still being | |
| finalized. | |
| I do not agree with the level of coal gain from daily | |
| containers, it is simple mathematics. | |
| The odds of receiving coal are: | |
| 100% chance for 400 coal | |
| 5% for 400 coal | |
| 25% for 400 coal | |
| Using the Expected return formula the expected value of a coal | |
| container is: 400*1 + 400*0.05 + 400*0.25 = 520 coal. | |
| Adding 10% from clan bonus: 520*1.1 = 572 | |
| Times amount of coal containers per day from XP: 572*3 = 1716 | |
| Over a longer period of time it should be this number minimum, | |
| but sometimes more given other containers also have chances for | |
| coal. | |
| I am believer of statistics since I had conducted droprate | |
| research from last years christmas containers, the percentages | |
| were correlated with those given by WG themselves. If you do not | |
| agree I am fine with this, but I feel comfortable with | |
| mathematics. | |
| King regards. | |
| #Post#: 611-------------------------------------------------- | |
| Re: Debate 6 | |
| By: wows Date: October 12, 2022, 10:09 am | |
| --------------------------------------------------------- | |
| I moved some offtopics from the Halland-topic to here. | |
| We can debate over the coal topic here and leave the Halland | |
| topic more clean. | |
| There is no outcome expected, let's just practice debation. | |
| We should first look and angree with what do you don't agree. | |
| And what was my claim. | |
| Let's do it later. | |
| #Post#: 612-------------------------------------------------- | |
| Re: Debate 6 | |
| By: wows Date: October 12, 2022, 10:28 am | |
| --------------------------------------------------------- | |
| As you see i don't say about coal any of my opinions. I jsut | |
| give an example of a conspiracy belief: | |
| [quote]"The second conspiracy is ..."[/quote]. | |
| This is not my opinion about coal or coal levels. This is just | |
| an example of doubts people can get. | |
| And you respond that you don't agree with my opinion about Coal. | |
| but i haven't given any opinion. | |
| Do you agree? | |
| #Post#: 614-------------------------------------------------- | |
| Re: Debate 6 | |
| By: Dr Schizo Date: October 12, 2022, 11:59 am | |
| --------------------------------------------------------- | |
| I agree about there being a misunderstanding in the | |
| communication on this topic. The interpretation was that you are | |
| a firm believer of the Coal conspiracy, it was stated as "i get | |
| less coal those days fro mthe loot boxes...", thus I decided to | |
| answer it fully in a mannerful manner. Though this can be made | |
| from human error, it is important to conduct peer-review with | |
| each other, an old teacher of mine would have called this | |
| incident an 'pedagogical error'. For now I understand the | |
| discussion is completed, since we stand on even ground. Kind | |
| regards. | |
| #Post#: 615-------------------------------------------------- | |
| Re: Debate 6 | |
| By: wows Date: October 12, 2022, 12:21 pm | |
| --------------------------------------------------------- | |
| So, we can declare the debate to be over. | |
| And the lesson was as you said: misunderstanding. | |
| Let's look more. You seem to phrase that you don't agree about | |
| some kind of (coal) levels. Levels are either numbers, or terms | |
| like "Level 1, 2, .." but i on't mention any levels. In my text | |
| i mention amounts. I don't mention exactly any certain levels or | |
| certain amounts but you seem to say that you disagree with the | |
| certain levels that i mention. And that makes your response | |
| offtopical because from my text nobody talks about certain | |
| levels. But maybe my english is not good and the word Levels is | |
| accurate in your statement. | |
| Also, if i state that something is conspiracy then it means that | |
| i know that it is not true but jsut a belief that mind | |
| fabricates. So, my text can be interpreted as "Coal level have | |
| not been changed" and that makes your response irrelevant. | |
| And, you represented what official wikipedia states but | |
| Wikipedia contains mistakes and changes through history and the | |
| real game code may have actually changed recently. So, wiki is | |
| not so good source but it is not so bad either of course. | |
| If you read my statement like "feels like coal income has | |
| decreased" then there are many variables that may result such | |
| reality and probabilities of one loot box type is only an | |
| irrelevant part of such outcome. | |
| I believe WG has changed in history how much vehicles earn etc | |
| and they haven't announced everything. So, it is totally | |
| possible that some variables have changed and the result is less | |
| coal. | |
| The More Coal type of box has procentages of the likelyhood and | |
| if that likelyhood has been not lucky then the result is that | |
| one feels that WG has decreased something. | |
| We can do some testing with loot boxes next to see how it looks. | |
| #Post#: 620-------------------------------------------------- | |
| Re: Debate 6 | |
| By: wows Date: October 13, 2022, 8:03 am | |
| --------------------------------------------------------- | |
| I make a short epilogue for everyone interested in debates here, | |
| as i usually do at the end of debates. | |
| 1. Rushing=Underestimating. If one rushes to somewhere then it | |
| underestimates the opponent. Try to practice taking a time | |
| before you send out the torpedos. In this debate we saw that the | |
| opponent rushed in and his torpedos become totally irrelevant. | |
| Specially if you face a Guru who has never lost any debates you | |
| should not rush but take your time and prepare your tactics | |
| well. Sometimes also an unknown stranger may surprice with a | |
| devastating response. And if you even face a many times defeated | |
| enemy then still bad luck happens and you may lose, and, why not | |
| to still practice taking a time and do a complex attack instead | |
| of a primitive rush. Rushing is the urge emotion and means | |
| unstable mentality, like money-gamblers become compulsive and | |
| cannot stop. This unstability is trained with the | |
| meditation-things. In this forum we gave 2 exercises that works | |
| towards the "stable-mind goal". Next time in life just take your | |
| time and even say as i did "Let's do it later". | |
| 2. Avoid links and Wiki pages and the info you get there. I have | |
| said it thousands of time i guess and proved plenty of times | |
| that links are incompetent and in debation we have a clear rule | |
| that we generally prohibit links. You find some kind of Wows | |
| Wikipedia info and basically copypasted it here and your mind | |
| was so attached to it and the belief in authority/wiki was so | |
| strong that all your response was very empty, jsut a copypaste | |
| and even that copypaste was offtopical. That is what blind | |
| believing does. Don't believe in links and authorities, believe | |
| in yourself. Wows community propagates such blindness by saying | |
| often "listen to good players", and "Stats=Math/Science". Be | |
| yourself, be creative, don't have blind believes. I msut write | |
| clearly into debating rules that links are not allowed, and | |
| other rules, but who knows when i do it. This wasn't planned as | |
| a debate initially and we didn't agree any debating rules, but i | |
| just remind to others here, that links are not allowed, and | |
| faith to authority is not allowed either. And this time we again | |
| proved that links and wikipedia info are useless. | |
| 3. Thing more than twice when you are forming your main claim. | |
| This is typically a sentence like "I don't agree with ...", "it | |
| is not true .. because..". If you make such main sentence | |
| qrongly then your whole following proof may become useless like | |
| it did this time. You can first ask confirmation questions from | |
| the opponent like i did with "Do you agree?". Let the opponent | |
| clarifies his standpoint and after that only provide your | |
| arguments. Otherwise you assume wrong things and reply to wrong | |
| things. | |
| 4. It is forbidden to say intentionally irrelevant things like | |
| Hello, Regards, PS, Btw, etc. I explained in one debate that | |
| such PS-sections at the ends, or Btw-phrases are totally useless | |
| noise. They have no adequate goal. Again, i say that here to | |
| everyone who is interested in future debates. Also in ethics it | |
| is so that it is not better if one uses politeness in wrong | |
| places/ways. For example, if one kills another then that is not | |
| ethical, but if one says during that act "kind regards" then | |
| that is even more unethical and called probably sadism etc. Many | |
| people believe primitively that a polite phrase is always a | |
| polite good thing no matter which context it is used in. Very | |
| often such cosmetically polite behaviour turns into salty | |
| sarcasm, or sadism as we explained. There is no need to be or | |
| risk to be a sadist, sarcastic, etc. Be adequate instead. No | |
| need for "kind regards" in debates. I'm not sure if it is wise | |
| to let people use such rudimental phrases in non-debatal topics, | |
| i have to think, let them use elsewhere i guess. But i don't | |
| feel myself any need to do any such irrelevant | |
| phrases/behaviours and in debates it is a must to follow such | |
| rule. | |
| 5. You say at the end that it is fine to stay on different | |
| opinions. The term opinion is a quite complex term. I can give | |
| in a separate topic one day better definition for that term. In | |
| short, opinion is for example if you have different base | |
| values/goals/taste than the other person then your conclucions | |
| based on your those are different than his, and then it is your | |
| opinion, and one can only attack you by saying that you have bad | |
| taste/believes. For example, if you are a concervative | |
| politician then your main wish is to keep your country clean | |
| from migrants, and your opinion about international student | |
| exchange programmes is negative because your believe the foreign | |
| students stay in your country and pollute your country's | |
| genofond. But a capitalistic politician values money and profit | |
| the most and his opinion is that those student are good | |
| employees and money bringers. Those 2 politicians have a | |
| different opinion and it is very difficult to say whose opinion | |
| is better or wrong. Opinions are not right/wrong, they are based | |
| on goals, faith, etc. If you provided a clear proof about Coal | |
| thing likelyhood then there is no way to stay on different | |
| opinions/believes. If i would stay that i still stay on my | |
| believes after you provided a strong proof then my such saying | |
| is not adequate and i lose the debate. Children do such things | |
| but in a real world there is no space for such "i still continue | |
| to believe" attitude. | |
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