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#Post#: 24426-------------------------------------------------- |
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0.3% ΞΑΝΑΕΠΕΣΕ ] |
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2;Ο CFR TOY COVID!!! |
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By: ΛΧΑ Date: March 24, 2 |
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020, 2:36 pm |
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Παραθέτω |
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άρθρο, το |
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οποίο βρήκα |
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σε |
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ιστοσελίδα |
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mainstream ευρείας |
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κυκλοφορία` |
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2;, |
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στο οποίο |
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μας |
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πληροφορού_ |
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7; |
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ότι το |
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πραγματικό CFR |
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του ιού |
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είναι 0.3% και |
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ότι οι |
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Ιταλοί του |
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βγάζουν στο |
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ταβάνι |
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γιατί |
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μετράνε |
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τους όσους |
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πηγαίνουν |
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στο |
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νοσοκομείο |
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με διαβήτη, |
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καρδιά κτλ |
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και |
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παθαίνουν |
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λοίμωξη από |
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covid (ενημερώνω |
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ότι η |
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λοίμωξη που |
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τους |
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σκοτώνει |
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δεν είναι |
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μια, δεν |
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είναι ένα |
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μικρόβιο. |
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Παράλληλα |
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μπορεί να |
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έχουν και |
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γρίπες και |
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ένα σωρό |
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άλλα |
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παθογόνα |
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αλλά για |
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αυτά δεν |
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κάνουν τεστ! |
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Όταν βρουν covid, |
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στον άλλον ο |
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οποίος |
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μπορεί να |
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είχε |
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πεθάνει από |
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υπέρταση/κα	 |
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61;διακό, |
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τον |
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κατηγοριοπ_ |
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9;ιούν |
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ως νεκρό covid!!!!) |
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Λέει εδώ ο |
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αρθρογράφο` |
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2; |
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πως όσο |
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μεγαλώνει |
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το δείγμα, |
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τόσο |
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μικραίνει |
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το cfr! Εγώ το |
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έβγαλα 0.64% εδώ |
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http://webwar.createaforum.com/917960953963964942956951-954945953-9329499679579… |
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/>αλλά από ό,τι |
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; |
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φαίνεται |
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έκανα πολύ |
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συντηρητικ^ |
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1;ς |
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εκτιμήσεις |
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με το 15% (βλ. εδώ |
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https://www.protothema.gr/world/article/988422/koronoios-vretania-pithanon-na-e… |
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Επίσης κάτι |
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που θα ρίξει |
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το cfr κι άλλο |
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είναι το |
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γεγονός ότι |
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πέρασε το peak |
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της |
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εποχικότητ^ |
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5;ς |
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των ιών του |
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αναπνευστι_ |
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4;ού. |
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covid19 = γρίπη |
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120 χιλιάδες |
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Έλληνες |
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γέροι |
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πεθαίνουν |
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κάθε χρόνο |
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και εμείς |
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κάνουμε |
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τόση |
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φασαρία και |
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ζημιά στην |
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οικονομία |
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για 20 άτομα |
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(όλοι τους |
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γέροι με |
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καρδιά, |
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διαβήτη και |
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καρκίνο)... |
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[quote]Is there something about being Germany which protects the |
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body against coronavirus Covid-19? Probably not, I would guess. |
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In which case why do the latest figures from the Robert Koch |
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Institute show that the country has a case fatality rate (CFR) |
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of 0.3 per cent, while the World Health Organisation (WHO) |
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figures from Italy seem to show a CFR of 9 per cent? To say |
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there is a vast gulf between those figures is an understatement. |
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If nine per cent of people who catch Covid-19 are going to die |
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from it we are facing a calamity beyond parallel in the modern |
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world. If only 0.3 per cent of people who catch it die from it, |
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this pandemic may yet turn out to be no worse than seasonal flu, |
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which as I have explained here before is estimated by the US |
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Centers for Disease Control to kill between 291,000 and 646,000 |
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people a year without the world really noticing. According to |
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John Hopkins University, which is collating fatalities data, |
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15,308 have died to date. |
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So which is closer to the real situation, Italy�s experience or |
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Germany�s? Various theories have been put forward for Germany�s |
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low death rate: for example that many of those who have tested |
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positive for Covid-19 are young people who had returned from |
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skiing holidays in Italy. The age profile for those who have |
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tested positive in Germany is certainly much lower than in |
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Italy: a median of 46-years-old as opposed to 63 in Italy. Some |
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have expressed the fear that young German skiers will slowly |
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infect their parents and grandparents� generation, and that the |
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death rate will steadily rise as the disease works its way |
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through more vulnerable elderly people. |
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Germany is almost certainly behind Italy in this epidemic. But |
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the main difference between Germany and Italy lies in those |
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countries� respective attitudes towards testing. Germany has |
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carried out far more enthusiastic testing of the general |
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population � there does not seem to be a central figure for |
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this, but the German Doctors� Association has estimated that |
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200,000 people across the country have been tested. In Britain, |
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it is 64,000 people. On the other hand, German hospitals do not |
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routinely test for the presence of coronavirus in patients who |
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are dying or who have died of other diseases. Italy, by |
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contrast, is performing posthumous coronavirus tests on patients |
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whose deaths might otherwise have been attributed to other |
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causes. |
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This matters hugely to the Case Fatality Rate for each country. |
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As explained here before, CFR is not to be confused with the |
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genuine Mortality Rate. The former is simply the number of |
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deaths divided by the number of recorded cases. The latter is |
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the number of deaths divided by the actual number of people who |
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have been infected by the disease. Trouble is, nobody knows the |
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latter figure because no country has tested its entire |
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population to see who has or has had the disease. What we do |
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know is that large numbers of people who have been confirmed as |
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having the disease only have mild symptoms � 45 per cent |
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according to Italy�s National Institute for Health. One in 10 |
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have no symptoms at all. There must be many others who have been |
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infected but haven�t been tested and therefore who do now show |
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up as confirmed cases. |
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It stands to reason that the more people who are tested, the |
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more accurate a picture we will have of the mortality rate, the |
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transmission rate and other metrics which will determine the |
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eventual path of this pandemic. To underline the uncertainties |
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behind the data from which policy is currently being made, the |
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Royal Society of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine the other day |
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estimated the number of people in Britain who already have or |
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have had Covid-19 at between 6,000 and 23 million. That is a |
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pretty broad spread with hugely different implications. If only |
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6,000 have the disease in Britain, socially-distancing the |
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population or locking down society might have a purpose. If 23 |
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million have the disease, it is pointless � it already has |
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ripped its way through the population but without killing more |
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than a tiny percentage. |
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What we really need is a huge effort to test a large randomised |
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sample of the population to see how widespread the infection is. |
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Hopefully, that will soon happen. But in the meantime, I am |
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minded to think that the more accurate picture of Covid-19 comes |
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from the country which has conducted the most tests: Germany. |
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WRITTEN BY |
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άντε και |
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γαμήσου! [/quote] |
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