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#Post#: 169--------------------------------------------------
Re: updates
By: Acutedevelopers Date: March 20, 2020, 2:40 am
---------------------------------------------------------
2020/03/20
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&d…
https://www.covid.is/data
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9…
Italy update :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146
twiv592 :
http://www.microbe.tv/twiv/twiv-592/
Italy,41035,3405,2498,-,4440
Iran,18407,1284,-,-,5979
Spain,18077,833,939,-,1107
Germany,15320,44,-,2,115
UnitedStates,14145,207,60,4,9
France,10995,372 ,921,-,12
SouthKorea,8652,94,-,-,2233
https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-a…
WHO,Tedros,Mar18
But there is hope.
Physical distancing measures � like cancelling sporting events,
concerts and other large gatherings
countries must isolate, test, treat and trace.
WHO continues to recommend that isolating, testing and treating
every suspected case,
and tracing every contact, must be the backbone of the response
in every country
But we know that some countries are experiencing intense
epidemics with
extensive community transmission.
We understand the effort required to suppress transmission in
these situations. But it can be done.
[do it as in South Korea]
WHO continues to recommend that, wherever possible, confirmed
mild cases should be
isolated in health facilities
if that�s not possible, countries can use community facilities
to isolate and care for mild
cases and refer them for specialized care quickly if needed.
---------------------------------------------
# don't be misled by Tedros' naive,unscientific appearance. They
have a team of qualified
# epidemiologists behind him (which I'm starting to doubt for
some country's
# governments, where the decisions are political not scientific
# and WHO was right in trusting the Chinese numbers from the
beginning, when most
# others doubted the Chinese success well into late Feb.
----------------------------------------------------
Check @LeiferMd 's charts
-------------------------------------
http://www.microbe.tv/twiv/twiv-592/
-----------------------------------------
South Korea's positiverate is down again, no "2nd wave"
http://magictour.free.fr/kor0313.GIF
China,39+31=70 , Hubei and Wuhan stays at 0
14 in Guangdong,8 in Shanghai,6 in Beijing
just some few new imported cases , presumably
I don't see a "2nd wave" yet , such headlines are misleading
China,343,254,262,282,245,198,128,100,55,55,48,41,
28,59,57,66,34,57,70
04:40-UTC,dow=19954
covid-19 reports , Imperial College :
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/news--wuhan-c…
now 28 NZ cases, all linked to overseas travel.
current testing volume by Country :
https://twitter.com/UNMC_DrKhan/status/1240849527407546369/photo/1
-----------------------------------------------------
07:06-UTC,dax=8923 (!),dow=20284, euro=1.075 , gold=1498,
oil=29.6
�radical increase in the identification and isolation of
currently undocumented infections�
UK jumping from 5k tests at day to 250k
-------------------------------------------------------
Iceland, Mar14-Mar18
deCODE-tests,956,1416,855,460,903
deCODE-positive,9,10,4,3,7
NUHI-tests,323,119,291,545,420
NUHI-positive,24,11,8,46,66
deCODE : 0.7% positive , NUHI : 9.1% positive
~1% of the population infected in Europe-Italy and USA ,
and _not_ the 0.02% estimated by experts here :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/expert-opinions/march-19-expert-prediction-su…
or what am I missing ?
------------------------------------------------------------
@AlexanderKekule
Eine bundesweite #Ausgangssperre w�re epidemiologisch
unbegr�ndet, wirtschaftlich
desastr�s und eine soziale Katastrophe. Es gibt weniger
einschneidende, aber genauso
wirksame Mittel.
#waere es nicht nett, den Italienern diese auch mitzuteilen ?
----------------------------------------------------------
https://twitter.com/eggersnsf/status/1240909928631537664/photo/1
https://nextstrain.org/
[code]cntry,cases,new-,dead,new,dr---,seri,recov
China,80967,0039,3248,003,4.01%,2314,70420
Italy,47021,5986,4032,627,8.57%,2655,5129
Spain,20410,2333,1041,208,5.10%,1141,1588
Iran-,19644,1237,1433,149,7.29%,----,5979
Germa,16666,1346,0044,000,0.29%,0002,0115
USA--,17635,3483,0220,012,1.25%,0064,0026
Franc,10995,0000,0372,000,3.38%,0921,0012
SKore,08652,0087,0094,003,1.09%,----,2233
TOTAL,251072,4227,10499,329,4.18%,7437,86549
Mar20,11:35-UTC[/code]
https://covid19map.tec
h/
https://www.gov.uk/government/groups/scientific-advisory-group-for-emergencies-…
https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/20/understanding-what-works-how-some-countries…
: GERMANY REPORTED 4K NEW CASES OF VIRUS IN THE PAST 24HRS
Hong Kong has 48 more confirmed
Italy 5986 new cases, cases are up, but the positive-rate is
down.
They increased testing from ~17000 to ~24000
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146
#Post#: 173--------------------------------------------------
Re: updates
By: Acutedevelopers Date: March 21, 2020, 2:38 am
---------------------------------------------------------
2020/03/21
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&d…
https://www.covid.is/data
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9…
March 20, 2020 - CTS communication: �No reason to change
anti-hypertensive therapy in Covid-19 times
----------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------
https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-a…
ahh, Tedros. He no longer talks about containment strategies.
Given up ?
> solidarity is the key to defeating COVID-19
some days ago it was test,test,test
> greatest concern ... countries with weaker health systems, or
with vulnerable populations.
some days ago it was Iran, Italy
> we have the power to change the way this goes.
but how ? The former WHO recommendations don't seem to work. Or
are
they being implemented incorrectly ?
> lack of HCW-protective equipment is an area of key concern for
us
back from stopping it to mitigating its effects
> try not to read or watch too much news if it makes you
anxious.
> Get your information from reliable sources once or twice a
day.
that's like ignoring the thread, giving up. Some days ago speed
was everything
let's get rid of Tedros, temporarily replace him with Aylward
for this wave.
Quickly. Before it's too late.
----------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------
South Korea , up again , zigzag , but this time in Daegu and
Gyeongbuk, the old hotspots
http://magictour.free.fr/kor0313.GIF
Hubei stays at 0 , China 41+36=77
China,343,254,262,282,245,198,128,100,55,55,48,41,
28,59,57,66,34,57,70,77
STAT:At-home tests for coronavirus are here. ~$170 , 30000 tests
available on Mar23
[code]cntry,cases,new-,dead,new-,de-ra,seri,recov
---------------------------------------------
China,80967,0039,3248,003,4.01%,2314,70420
Italy,47021,5986,4032,627,8.57%,2655,5129
Spain,21571,3494,1093,260,5.07%,1141,1588
Iran-,19644,1237,1433,149,7.29%,----,6745
Germa,19848,4528,0060,016,0.30%,0002,0115
USA--,19671,5519,0252,044,1.28%,0064,0026
Franc,12612,1617,0450,078,3.57%,1297,1587
SKore,08652,0087,0094,003,1.09%,----,2233
TOTAL,277500,30655,11485,1315,4.14%,8002,89711
2020/03/21/03:40-UTC[/code]
dow=19036
https://pages.semanticscholar.org/coronavirus-research
[sometimes I'm posting here what I just come across while
reading twitter or such]
#Post#: 174--------------------------------------------------
Re: updates
By: Acutedevelopers Date: March 23, 2020, 2:45 am
---------------------------------------------------------
2020/03/22
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&d…
https://www.covid.is/data
-----------------------------------------------------------
South Korea down a bit , stable at low level
-----------------------------------------------------------
China , 46+45=91 , Hubei stays at 0 ,
5013 still in hospital in Hubei , 1771 under medical observation
------------------------------------------------------------
[code]China,81054,0046,3261,6,4.02%,1963,72440
Italy,53578,0000,4825,0,9.01%,2857,6072
USA--,26267,0238,0317,9,1.21%,0064,0029
Spain,25496,0000,1381,0,5.42%,1141,2125
Germa,22255,0000,0084,0,0.38%,----,0239
Iran-,20610,0000,1556,0,7.55%,----,7635
Franc,14459,0000,0562,0,3.89%,1297,1587
TOTAL,309682,0546,13156,0015,4.25%,8095,95129
2020/03/22/03:00-UTC[/code]
---------------------------------------------
The Italian Prime Minister is giving a snap 11.30pm press
conference,
announcing EVERYTHING in the country - including factories -
will shut down.
Only things to stay open will be supermarkets, pharmacies and
banks.
All other workplaces closed. Also all parks.
-------------------------------------------------
### note, this is in all of Italy. South-Italy has not more
COVID than other European countries
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146
Italy had increased testing again, so it's not really going up.
In Lombardy it seems to be going
down in the last days.
number of daily tests in Lombardy : 2534,3261,4930,9556
It is continuously and exponentially going up in South Italy
despite the lockdown since Mar09
What Italy is still doing differently than China,South Korea is
the lack of
isolation facilities, fever-screening, masks in public.
--------------------------------
2nd wave in Asia ?
https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2020/03/hong-kong-taiwan-singapore-covid-19.html
[code]Japan
,19,35,29,59,45,33,27,46,67,56,35,79,13,18,45,39,37,09,51,--
Hong
Kong,00,04,00,03,02,05,01,05,06,05,06,04,07,09,10,25,16,48,17,44
Singapore,02,02,05,13,08,12,10,06,12,09,13,12,14,17,23,47,32,40,
47,--
Taiwan
,00,02,01,00,00,00,00,02,01,01,01,03,06,08,10,23,08,27,18,16[/co
de]
128 countries chart :
http://magictour.free.fr/jodi0322.GIF
---------------------------------
Italy update :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146
#Post#: 175--------------------------------------------------
Re: updates
By: Acutedevelopers Date: March 23, 2020, 2:50 am
---------------------------------------------------------
2020/03/23
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&d…
https://www.covid.is/data
China,39+47=86 , Hubei,0 , SouthKorea,64
03:15,dow=18280
reviews :
https://twitter.com/SinaiImmunol/status/1241526700741144576
06:00-UTC, dax=8390,dow=18280
07:00-UTC, dax=8526,dow=18529,euro=1.075,
bitcoin=5521,gold=1487,oil=26.14
07:04,dax=8565,VIX=76,Moderna=28(18),Innovio=7.6(3
),Novavax=10.2(4)
[code]China,81054,0000,3261,0000,4.02%,1963,72440
Italy,59138,0000,5476,0000,9.26%,3009,7024
USA--,35397,0044,0461,0001,1.30%,0454,0035
Spain,28768,0000,1772,0000,6.16%,1141,2575
Germa,24873,0021,0094,0000,0.38%,----,0266
Iran-,21638,0000,1685,0000,7.79%,----,7913
Franc,16018,0000,0674,0000,4.21%,----,1746,1587
TOTAL,343543,297,14750,19,4.29%,9424,97630
2020/03/23/07:15-UTC
TOTAL,251072,10499,4.18%,7437,86549
TOTAL,277500,11485,4.14%,8002,89711
TOTAL,309682,13156,4.25%,8095,95129
TOTAL,343543,14750,4.29%,9424,97630
TOTAL,383690,16566,4.32%,10579,100653
[TOTAL,415457,18640,4.49%,11088,105221]
[/code]
Iran(84M) is stable with 1000 cases and 140 deaths per day since
8 days now
not going up , better than expected
otoh we have Italy(63M) with 800 deaths per day, still
increasing
Italy,63927,4789,6077,601,9.51%,3204,7432
still going up, don't be misled by the fewer cases, they reduced
testing
Italy update :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146
half a million sign petition calling for WHO head�s resignation
#Post#: 177--------------------------------------------------
Re: updates
By: Acutedevelopers Date: March 24, 2020, 3:45 am
---------------------------------------------------------
2020/03/24
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&d…
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-p…
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-p…
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-p…
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-regioni/dpc-covid19-ita-re…
https://www.covid.is/data
China, 78+35=113 , 1 new case in Wuhan , South Korea , 76 stays
low
Italy update :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146
[code]Milano MI,3156694, 8, 0, 7, 14, 1, 16, 12, 35, 52,
52, 70, 94, 45,100,
86,333,221,161,244,199,233,343,318,634,526,868,424,230,
Bergamo BG,1098740, 18, 2, 52, 31, 7, 99, 34,129, 51,114,
86,138,236,248,227,343,321,232,496,552,344,233,312,340,509,715,3
47,255,
Brescia BS,1256025, 0, 2, 8, 3, 1, 35, 11, 26, 41, 28,
27,231, 88,238,
51,561,247,186,338,351,445,382,484,463,401,380,289,588,[/code]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Provinces_of_Italy
http://magictour.free.fr/itap0323.GIF
> in the first fortnight of March, the number of deaths is four
times higher than the
> same period of last year�.
half a million sign petition calling for WHO head�s resignation
---------------------------------------------------
WHO-Tedros yesterday again :
To win, we need to attack the virus with aggressive and targeted
tactics �
testing every suspected case, isolating and caring for every
confirmed case,
and tracing and quarantining every close contact.
We recognize that some countries are struggling with the
capacity to carry
out these offensive measures.
## capacity=money ? too expensive to hire and pay all the
tracking teams as in China
## I wonder, which country in Europe or which State in USA or
province in Canada goes
## for that WHO-strategy
-----------------------------------------
06:43-UTC-dax=9096
07:13-UTC,dax=9177(-33%),dow=19389,gold=1590,euro=1.082,oil=28.3
,
VIX=62,MIB=15560 (-39%),ChinaA50 = 12200 (-17% )
[code]China,81171,0078,3277,0007,4.04%,1573,73159
Italy,63927,0000,6077,0000,9.51%,3204,7432
USA--,46158,0836,0583,0001,1.26%,0454,0035
Spain,35136,0000,2311,0000,6.58%,2355,3355
Germa,29282,0000,0119,0000,0.41%,----,0453
Iran-,23049,0000,1812,0000,7.86%,----,8376
Franc,19856,0000,0860,0000,4.33%,1746,1587
TOTAL,383690,3583,16566,0058,4.32%,10579,100653[/code]
16:40,dax=9530,dow=20340
Italy update :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146
#Post#: 185--------------------------------------------------
Re: updates
By: Acutedevelopers Date: March 26, 2020, 2:04 am
---------------------------------------------------------
2020/03/25
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&d…
https://datastudio.google.com/reporting/91350339-2c97-49b5-92b8-965996530f00/pa…
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-p…
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-regioni/dpc-covid19-ita-re…
https://www.covid.is/data
2020/03/24/19:30-UTC,dax=9622,dow=20356
[code]China,81171,78,3277,7,4.04%
Italy,69176,5249,6820,0743,9.86%,3396,8326
USA--,51816,6494,0657,0075,1.27%,0454,0035
Spain,39676,4540,2800,0489,7.06%,2636,3794
Germa,32625,3343,0155,0036,0.48%,----,3133
Iran-,24811,1762,1934,0122,7.79%,----,8913
Franc,22302,2446,1100,0240,4.93%,1746,1587
TOTAL,415457,31198,18640,1959,4.49%,11088,105221[/code]
China,47+33,
SouthKorea,100
Singapore,2,2,2,5,13,8,12,10,6,12,09,13,12,14,17,2
3,47,32,40,47,23,54,49,73
HongKong,5,1,5,9,2,6,4,7,9,10,25,16,48,17,44,39,20 ,24
???,4,2,5,6,6,15,8,23,7,15,12,8,
Taiwan,1,1,1,3,6,8,10,23,8,27,18,16,26,21
Japan,25,18,8,14,18,19,35,31,54,44,33,28,59,53,56,
34,60,30,15,44,39,29
Japan,official,55,41,64,34,15,44,41,36,57,47,32,42 ,65,114
Vietnam,3,6,4,4,5,10,9,6,3,19,10
Thailand,3,6,11,5,7,32,33,30,35,60,50,89,188,122,1 06
Indonesia,0,2,0,2,13,12,7,0,35,27,21,17,38,55,81,6
1,81,64,65,107
Philippines,1,1,0,0,2,0,1,4,14,9,16,3,12,47,29,2,4
5,15,15,13,77,73,82,90
Australia,8,3,10,7,12,20,15,29,42,50,50,78,77,113,
142,167,196,281,364,430,285,
New Zealand,0,1,2,0,1,0,1,2,0,4,8,8,11,13,14,36,53,50, 78
Denmark,55,172,252,160,128,lockdown,32,39,57,92,91
,108,112,83,94,70,135,144
-------------------------
0702-UTC,dax=9814,dow=20940,euro=1.082,gold=1617,oil=30 .5
08:00,dax=10014
deathrates :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/deathscases/msg181/#ms…
list of 73 government responses
https://www.bsg.ox.ac.uk/research/research-projects/oxford-covid-19-government-…
-------------------------------------------
NOVEL CORONAVIRUS UNLIKELY TO DISAPPEAR IN SUMMER, EU AGENCY FOR
DISEASE CONTROL SAYS
Italy update (URL see above) , 16th day after lockdown
almost the same number of cases as yesterday,
but with _lots_ (28%) of more testing ! So the deathrate is down
a lot. N and S
,{147},
462,140,186,206,221,299,228,
247,329,249,308,248,248,220,
280,244,189 daily positive rate
#Post#: 186--------------------------------------------------
Re: updates
By: Acutedevelopers Date: March 26, 2020, 2:09 am
---------------------------------------------------------
2020/03/26
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&d…
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-p…
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9…
/>{currently defect, the last full table I got on Mar22}
[code]China,81285,0114,3287,0010,4.04%,1235,74051
Italy,74386,0000,7503,0000,A.09%,3489,9362
USA--,68351,0004,1037,0000,1.52%,0664,0046
Spain,49515,0000,3647,0000,7.37%,3166,5367
Germa,37323,0000,0206,0000,0.55%,----,3133
Iran-,27017,0000,0277,0000,7.69%,----,9625
Franc,25233,0000,1331,0000,5.27%,1746,1587
TOTAL,475350,297,21433,18,4.51%,11717,110508
2020/03/26/06:00-UTC[/code]
China,69+58 , South Korea,104 , Japan sum-Mar25=1307
---------------------------------
WHO's 6 key actions :
First, expand, train and deploy your health care and public
health workforce;
Second, implement a system to find every suspected case at
community level;
Third, ramp up the production, capacity and availability of
testing;
Fourth, identify, adapt and equip facilities you will use to
treat and isolate patients;
Fifth, develop a clear plan and process to quarantine contacts;
And sixth, refocus the whole of government on suppressing and
controlling COVID-19.
--------------
More than 150 countries and territories still have fewer than
100 cases.
By taking the same aggressive actions now, these countries have
the chance
to prevent community transmission and avoid some of the more
severe social
and economic costs seen in other countries.
### seems to imply that for the other countries it's already too
late now
https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-a…
soo exited about the COVID-19 Solidarity Response Fund. which
raised $95M
compare that to Trump's $1900B ... 0.005%
----------------------------------------------------
08:03-UTC,dax=9607,dow=20827,oil=29.2
--------------------------------------------------
18:20,dax=9907
#Post#: 197--------------------------------------------------
Re: updates
By: gsgs Date: April 3, 2020, 9:01 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
copies of these posts readable also by non-members are here :
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/ncov-discussion/updates/msg169/#msg169
2020/03/27
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&d…
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-p…
https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte…
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z7VQ5xlf3BaTx_LBBblsW4hLoGYWnZyog3jqsS9…
/> {currently defect, the last full table I got on Mar22}
https://corona.rki.de
China,55+49,53+29,45+28,31+17,48+44,36+26+130,35+2 0+55,31+12+60
SouthKorea,91,146,105,78,125,101,89,86
Denmark,55,172,252,160,128,lockdown,32,39,57,92,91 ,
108,112,83,94,70,135,144,162,176,167,198,191,284,2 51,283
Czech,CZ,0,0,3,0,2,0,3,11,7,6,6,25,31,22,25,48,109 ,lockdown
85,67,110,205,124,158,114,128,185,291,259,373,262,
160,184,307,281,269
Netherlands,155,176,278,292,346,409,534,637,573,54 5,811,852,
1019,1172,1159,1104,884,845,1019,1083,1030
Austria : 430,680,925,684,838,1050,596,541,841,597,508,485
Japan,55,41,64,34,15,44,41,36,57,47,32,42 ,65,98,96,112,194,173,
87,225,206,233
Singapore,2,2,2,5,13,8,12,10,6,12,9,13,12,14,17,23 ,47,32,40,
47,23,54,49,73,52,49,70,42,35,47,74,49
Taiwan,1,1,1,3,6,8,10,23,8,27,18,16,26,20,20,17,15
,16,15,8,16,7,10
HongKong,5,1,5,9,2,6,4,7,9,10,25,16,48,18,43,40,29
,24,43,65,64,59,41,32,51,37
Australia,0,8,3,10,7,12,20,15,29,42,50,50,78,77,
113,142,167,196,
281,364,430,285,379,369,460,345,265,311,303,272
New Zealand,1,2,0,4,8,8,11,13,14,36,53,50,78,85,83,63,
75,58,61,89,71
USA,2410,3948,5417,6271,8631,10410,9939,12226,1705 0,
19046,20093,19960,20718,25396,26732,28812
---------------------------------------------------------
dow=22033 , 07:11-UTC,dax=9868
------------------------------------------------------------
2020/03/28
China,53+29 ; SouthKorea,146 , 71 in Daegu , HongKong,65 ;
Taiwan,15 ;
Singapore,683 ; Japan,1401
-------------------------------------------------------
2020/03/29
China,45+28 ; SouthKorea,105 (23 in Daegu) ; HongKong,64
dow=21450
Italy, cases down 5974-->5217 , but they reduced testing from
35000 --> 24000 ,
so the positive-rate is up
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/italy/msg146/#msg146
is it in some provinces of Italy already going down ?
http://magictour.free.fr/ip-03293.GIF
PU,MC,AV,PT,RE,MO
============================================
2020/03/30
China,31+17 ; South Korea,78 ; 胡雪梅 ,
shanghai law school filed a request to
release Wuhan data
Iceland , ~0.6% of the population infected (down from 1%)
cases go down in several European countries !
Italy is real this time, testing was almost the same as
yesterday
Italy cases : 5217-->4050 , tests : 24504-->23329
=================================================
2020/03/31
China,48+44 , SouthKorea,125
it's magically going down yesterday almost everywhere !
See the updated list 38 lines above
dax=9879,dow=22220 , 07:16,dax=9842
Korea update :
http://magictour.free.fr/kor0313.GIF
Italy 29609(23329yesterday) tests, 4053(4050) positive ,
pos.rate=29.2%(31.5) Lomb., 14.9%(23.2) North , 9.3%(8.5)South
=============================================
2020/04/01
China,Hubei delayed (bad sign) ; 36+26(+130 asympt.) ; South
Korea,101
Denmark,Czech,Japan,UK,Sweden,France!,Spain up again , see 48
lines above
remains Italy,Germany with positive signals
dax=9730,dow=21532
Germany +% for 50,100,150,200 most prevalent COVID-districts
(out of 412) : 7.9,8.7,9.0,9.3
Netherlands looks good !
https://en.wikipedia.org/api/rest_v1/page/graph/png/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_i…
China is now also reporting asymptomatic positives
Italy : 34455(29609) tests , 4782(4053) positive ,
positive-rates , Italy=13.8%(13.6) , Lombardy=22.9%(29.2) ,
N-Italy=15.1%(14.9) , S-Italy=8.9%(9.3)
dow=21036,dax=9434
======================================
2020/04/02
France, daily deaths from all causes by department :
https://www.insee.fr/fr/information/4470857
China,delayed 35+20+55 ; SouthKorea,89 ;
dow=21048, dax=9535
Italy by province updated :
http://magictour.free.fr/IP-04013.BMP
Italy regions :
http://magictour.free.fr/i-0402.GIF
=============================================
2020/04/03
Tedros, are the measures good, are we stopping it, how
expensive, which Countries do best ?
he doesn't address the important questions
https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-a…
China,31+12+60 ; SouthKorea,86 ; Japan,233 ; Germany,6174
http://data.nextstrain.org/ncov.json
dax=9509,dow=21130,euro-1.083,oil=28.7
what's happening in Austria ? 10 times as many tested yesterday,
but fewer positives
2.April , Austria does representative Corona-Tests
https://npgeo-corona-npgeo-de.hub.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0…
Italy 38617 tests, 4585 positive
#Post#: 209--------------------------------------------------
Re: updates
By: gsgs Date: April 9, 2020, 12:23 am
---------------------------------------------------------
2020/04/04
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://www.cdc.go.kr/index.es?sid=a2
http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&d…
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/blob/master/dati-province/dpc-covid19-ita-p…
https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte…
https://corona.rki.de
https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
China,19+11+64 ; SouthKorea, 96 ; Germany, 6082
China,55+49,53+29,45+28,31+17,48+44,36+26+130,35+2
0+55,31+12+60,
19+11+64,30+11+47,39+10+78,30+11+47,62+12+137,-
SouthKorea,91,146,105,78,125,101,89,86,96,81,47,47 ,53
Denmark,55,172,252,160,128,lockdown,32,39,57,92,91 ,
108,112,83,94,70,135,144,162,176,167,198,191,
284,251,252,414,322,293,314,-
Czech,CZ,0,0,3,0,2,0,3,11,7,6,6,25,31,22,25,48,109 ,lockdown
85,67,110,205,124,158,114,128,185,291,259,373,262,
160,184,307,281,269,332,282,115,235,-
Netherlands,155,176,278,292,346,409,534,637,573,54 5,811,852,
1019,1172,1159,1104,884,845,1019,1083,1026,904,122 4,952,-
Austria : 430,680,925,684,838,1050,596,541,841,597,508,485,4
16,282,242,299,-
Japan,55,41,64,34,15,44,41,36,57,47,32,42 ,65,98,96,112,194,173,
87,225,208,233,303,219,515,252,-,-
Singapore,2,2,2,5,13,8,12,10,6,12,9,13,12,14,17,23 ,47,32,40,
47,23,54,49,73,52,49,70,42,35,47,74,49,65,75,120,6 6,106
Taiwan,1,1,1,3,6,8,10,23,8,27,18,16,26,20,20,17,15
,16,15,8,16,7,10,9,7,8,-
HongKong,5,1,5,9,2,6,4,7,9,10,25,16,48,18,43,40,29
,24,43,65,64,59,41,32,51,37,44,17,28,24,-
Australia,0,8,3,10,7,12,20,15,29,42,50,50,78,77,
113,142,167,196,
281,364,430,285,379,369,460,345,265,311,303,272,22
2,194,141,107,-
New Zealand,1,2,0,4,8,8,11,13,14,36,53,50,78,85,83,63,
75,58,61,89,71,82,89,67,-
USA,2410,3948,5417,6271,8631,10410,9939,12226,1705 0,
19046,20093,19118,20463,25396,26732,28182,32182,34 068,25717,-,-
Washington Post estimates Wuhan's COVID deaths at 40000
dow=20942
Italy 37375 tests , 4805 positive , 10% up
Lombardia,Piemonte,Lazio
============================================
2020/04/04
China,30+11+47 ; SouthKorea,81 ; Germany,5936 (but ~20% of
regions missing)
dow-future=20945,
gold meadal for Australia silver for Austria bronze for
Netherlands this week
week 14:
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/actual-epidemic-charts/week14/msg203/#msg203
from the countries with more than 10000 case these had no
redoubling this week:
China,SouthKorea,Italy,Austria,Switzerland,Iran,Ne
therlands,Germany,Spain,Belgium,Portugal
Italy,34237 tests,4316 positive = stable , Lombardia down, South
up
positive-rates , 5 countries with available data :
http://magictour.free.fr/pr-0405.GIF
============================================
2020/04/06
Chna,39+10+78 ; SouthKorea,47 ; Germany,1429 (I get 3677,
weekend-underreporting)
Singapore : 4Apr- Massive increase today, 120 cases. Half of
which have no links to
previous cases. Nation wide circuit breaker 'lockdown' begins
Tuesday for a month to battle
--------------------------------
dax=9968,dow=21905(top was 29500,-26%),China A50=12862(top was
14630, -12%)
euro=1.082,oil=32.9,gold=1630,
@a_husby Apr 4 , 27 of 1,000 blood donors in Greater Copenhagen
had SARS-CoV-2 antibodies.
-------------------------------
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...773v1.full.pdf
> ...unsupported claims of the growth rate of COVID-19 might be
lower in tropical countries.
Reduction of lymphocyte at early stage elevates severity and
death risk of COVID-19 patients:
----------------------------------
Italy 30271 tests , 3599 positive , last 7 days :
Italy-rate=136,138,117,118,128,126,118,90
Lombardia-rate=292,229,188,215,234,164,215,182
North-rate=149,151,142,131,141,135,149,95
South-rate=93,89,60,78,77,86,52,66
-----------------------------------
cases are down in other European countries as well , pandemic
canceled ;-)
dax=10103,dow=22238
==========================================
2020/04/07
dow=22580
China,32+12+30 ; SouthKorea,47 ; Singapore,66 ; Japan,515 ! ;
Germany,3834
Italy-info :
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
Italy, epi-curve:
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/en/coronavirus/bollettino/Infografica_6aprile%20EN…
by regions:
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/bollettino/Bolletino-sorveglianza-inte…
08:02 MET,DST, dax=10242,dow=22690
dax=10474, dow=23530
COVID-cases by day and country , computer-readable :
http://magictour.free.fr/ecdc0407.txt
Italy 33713 tests with 3039 positives , very good
==================================================
2020/04/08
China, 62+12+137 ; SouthKorea,53 ; Japan,252 ; USA,29362
dow=22443 , dax=10236
the counts by day and country are now provided in full lists
my latest :
http://magictour.free.fr/ecdc0407.txt
in original format :
https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
ECDC-data website :
https://data.europa.eu/euodp/en/data/dataset/covid-19-coronavirus-data
(when is it being updated ?)
this ECDC-list replaces most of my links and lists above. I'm
planning to do the country-charts
in one big picture file so you can easily see where it goes up
and where down
I'll keep the Italian and German tables by onset-date
http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
----------------------------------------
Japan : emergency, Abe-speech , $900B support , no curfews, no
laws, no penalties,
just asking the population to comply
they had got it low so far, I wonder why they couldn't continue
that way
----------------------------------------
LDL-cholesterol is able to inactivate virus.
infection fatality rate in the 10 Lombardy towns = 0.67% with
working HC
recovered from Covid-19 found nearly a third had surprisingly
low levels of antibodies.
Singapore loses control of coronavirus outbreak, announces
month-long lockdown
doesn't look so bad to me : ,42,35,47,74,49,65,75,120,66,106
----------------------------------------
ECDC : - no indication at EU/EEA level that the peak of the
epidemic has been reached
#come on, it has been reached in the major early affected
countries.
Eastern Europe got it late, is some weeks behind, but it did
peak in non-East-Europe
---------------------------------------
Italy : 51680 tests (big increase) with 3836 positive (no
surprise that positives go up
when testing is up so much) , the positive rates are down
everywhere
world-charts are updated
http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
@pavel23 Wir sind wohl �ber den Corona-Berg, was die deutschen
Intensivstationen betrifft.
dax=10414
Italy epi-curve hits zero in ~1 week
------------------------------------------------------
200 deaths per day in NYC , 8 times more than usual
-------edit---------these are only deaths at home, excluding
hospitals
# we saw this in Bergamo and Brescia but I had thought, NY were
earlier in the wave
and now it stopped ?! This effect would give ~500K deaths for
USA per week ...
2192 deaths at home mar20-apr06, 5 times more than 2019
#Post#: 210--------------------------------------------------
Re: updates
By: gsgs Date: April 9, 2020, 12:24 am
---------------------------------------------------------
2020/04/09
ECDC:
https://t.co/JZ7VGiITDa?amp=1
DE:
https://opendata.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0.csv
I:
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-sorveglianza-dati
> period of untracked global transmission between late
> January to mid-February.�
> 7 lineages in New York
China,63+17+56 ; SouthKorea,39 Japan,+351(=4257)
Singapore,+142(=1623) ; Germany+4974
dow=23188
23 daily Italy epi-curves since Mar20 as .bmp available
update : Italy-provinces :
http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0408.GIF
MI=Milano,BG=Bergamo,BS=Brescia,PV=Pavia,TO=Torino,GE=Genova,VE=
Venezia,RM=Roma
NA=Napoli,FI=Firenze,AN=Ancona
11:40-UTC word-charts updated :
http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
Italy : 46244 tested, 4204 positive ,
positiverate=9.0% (up from 7.4) ,
Lombardia=14.7(13.2),North=10.1(9.0),South=5.3(3.5)
=============================================
2020/04/10:
China,42+3+47 , SouthKorea,27; Japan,410 ; Singapore,287 ;
Ireland , Germany
http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
strangely almost all of the European Countries with many cases
had a slight increase again in the last days
USA,ESP,ITA,DEU,FRA,BEL,CHE,NLD,CAN,PRT,AUT,ISR,SWE,IRL,NOR,CZ-
not DNK,SRB,FIN
after the previous decline
so, is it some weather effect ? weekend-effect ? worldwide
testing availability effect ?
downtrend in CHN,KOR,AUT,AUS,NOR,NZ,LUX,LVA,TWN,CHE,ITA
----------------------------------
Germany , predicted epi-curve :
http://magictour.free.fr/rkiepi4.GIF
Italt 53495 tests, 3951 positive , as good as the day before
yesterday, yesterday was worse
increased testing since Wednesday
================================================
2020/04/11
China,46+8+34,99+49+12,
South Korea,30,32,
Japan,212,233,303,219,515,252,351,410,680,183(=5530,b6184) ;
Singapore,75,65,120,66,106,262,287,198,191(=2299)
Ireland,370,345,465,500,1515,839(=8928)
Germany,6082,5936,3677,3834,4003,4974,5323,4133,5122(=117658,b12
2780)
------------------------------------------
WHO-Tedros,Apr10, build a supply-chain (together with UN and
world-food-programme)
to cover 30% of world's needs in the acute phase, $280M
------------------------------------------------
report-date - symptom-onset :
http://magictour.free.fr/epis1.GIF
---------------------------------------------
I'm almost 1 day behind now with the numbers from ECDC, which
come at noon-UTC
-----------------------------------------------
3fold increase of deaths from all causes already in the last
available 7 days in 2
French departments, 2.21fold in the 14 (out of 100) hardest hit
departments.
1.25 fold (+25%) in entire France
https://www.insee.fr/fr/information/4470857
http://magictour.free.fr/f-0410b.GIF
------------------------------------------------------------
Italy : 56609 tests , 4666 positive , 13% increase against
yesterday :-(
=================================================
2020/04/12
China,99+49+12 , South Korea , Japan , Singapore , Ireland
updated my 116 world-COVID-charts :
http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
in Europe ITA,GBR,NLD,IRL go up again UK(GBR) did
extra-tests on keyworkers on Apr11
Italy , 46720 tests with 4092 positives , positive-rate slightly
up to 8.7%, N=10.6%,S=3.5%
==============================================
2020/04/13
China, 108+6+61 (local:7 Heilongjiang,3 Guangdong) , 244 are
still in hospital in Hubei
and 1815 are still under medical observation in Hubei
[I'm giving wiki's daily promille-changes below now]
---edit-well, I'm not happy with that, it depends on the
total-no matter how far back
Japan,75,160,69,90,100,140,120,120,93,
changed at wiki to ,
100,120,120,120,69,90,120,120,120,120,75,54,60,60
Singapore,49,62,67,100,50,77,96,180,100,91,100,150,110,140
Denmark,82,69,69,80,63,42,32,29,29,23,30,25
Italy-pr,90,74,90,73,82,87,85,110,61,62,53
still going up : TUR,RUS,IND,IRE,(UK?,US?), NL,BEL , CHL,JPN
Italy, 36717 tests, 3153 positive , pr=8.5,N=9.7,S=4.6 ,
Lombardy=23.9 !
===============================================
2020/04/14
China,89+3+54 (3 Guangdong) , Korea,27 , Japan,7370(+622,+9.3%)
, Singapore,+15%
Tedros : 10 times deadlier than the 2009 flu pandemic.
early case-finding, testing, isolating caring for every case and
tracing every contact is essential
the way down is much slower than the way up.
[# not in all countries , Austria,Australia,New
Zealand,Norway,Luxemburg,China,SouthKorea,...]
http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
RKI,Germany gives daily R0-estimates since Apr07 :
1.3,1.2,1.1,1.1,1.3,1.1,1.2
dow=23599
article about HongKong,Singapore strategies :
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/04/suppress-and-lift-hong-kong-and-singapo…
chart :
http://magictour.free.fr/hk-sgp.GIF
Germany Landkreise :
http://magictour.free.fr/lk-0413.GIF
Italy - the pdf which I use was not updated today ... it came
later
============================================
2020/01/15
China,46 (8 Heilongjiang,2 Guangdong)+11+57 , Korea,27 ; Japan
slows down ; Singapore still up
Czech totally down in the last 5 days (masks ?)
Germany unclear, cases are much lower than last week,
but RKI gives R0=1.2. Easter-underreporting ?
USA +4.4% going down, UK +5.9%, still bad
261 new sequences at genbank on Apr13, 52 on Apr14 , 928 in
total, 719 from USA,41 from Europe
plus 102 from Germany downloadable from Charite, not at genbank
dow=23724
08:00-UTC-dax=10520,dow=23700,euro=1.093,gold=1707,oil=28.6,VIX=
34
Novavax=16,Moderna=31,Inovio=7
-------------------------------
Italy Apr14 is now available. only 26779 tests, still 2972
positive.
The positive rate increases to 11.0% , 12.7% in the North, 6.0%
in the South
-------------------------------
ECDC has a big increase today in France,Peru,SRB,MDA,ARM ;
decline in Belgium
US-deaths estimate =69000 :
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
-------------------------
Italy, 43715 tests, 2667 positive ; good
positive-rate = 6.1% (11.0% the day before , so maybe they
tested different groups now)
===================================
2020/04/16
China,46+3+64 (12 local,5 Guangdong, 4 Heilongjiang,3 Beijing),
1032 asympt. in total currently
44% of infections during the presymptomatic phase
Redfield : we're nearing the peak right now
dow=23374
----------------------------------------
daily podcasts in German
Kekule#25 , WHO shows no leadership
Kekule#24 , doubts there will be vaccine in 18 months
Kekule#20 , praises Austria
https://www.mdr.de/nachrichten/podcast/kekule-corona/index.html
Drosten#31 , reinfection unlikely
Drosten#30 , data-app
https://www.ndr.de/nachrichten/info/Coronavirus-Update-Die-Podcast-Folgen-als-S…
scripts --> all into one file, translate
08:45, dax=10427,dow=23650
Germany : R0=0.9 , first time that they give it as <1 .
They also have new estimated curves by system-onset
in the German version only, see the chart on page 6 :
https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte…
116 worldcharts in 1 picturefile updated :
http://magictour.free.fr/w-0407.GIF
France stabilised, probably a data-error yesterday.
It goes down slowly in the major European Countries since weeks.
USA,UK are 1-2 weeks behind.
It went down faster in Austria,Czech,Denmark,Australia,NZ,Lux
positive-rates :
http://magictour.free.fr/PR-0416.GIF
In Austria it took 5 weeks
Italy, 60999 tests, 3687 positive , unusually much testing
positive-rate: 6.2%,N:7.2%,S:3.0%
euromomo week 15 :
http://magictour.free.fr/euromo15.GIF
=============================================
2020/04/17
China,26+3+66~1038 ,local: 5GD,3+2HL,2SD,1LI,0+1IM
world-update :
http://magictour.free.fr/w-0417.GIF
1044 sequences at genbank, all full new ones from USA
~3% of Santa Clara County , CA , infected
Italy : 65705 tests (a lot) , 3493 positive , the positive rate
is being updated daily above now
90,74,90,73,82,87,85,110,61,62,53
France, INSEE daily deaths updated
https://www.insee.fr/fr/information/4470857
~40% excess deaths on Apr06,after 50% on Mar31 for whole France
*****************************************************
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