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Presidential Predictions II
A decade ago [1], I linked to An Algorithm for Determining the Winners of
U.S. Presidential Elections [2] and I thought it might be interesting to see
if it still has predictive power (whether that's a Good Idea™ or a Really Bad
Idea™ remains to be seen).
So, here we go:
Table: Presidential electability of the candidates for President in 2016
Ticket President Representative Governor Other Total
------------------------------
Trump/Pence 0/0 0/10 0/3 -110 (Divorced)/- -97
Clinton/Kaine 0/0 0/0 0/4 -110 (Lobbying Organization [3])/- -106
Looks like we get the Howling Monkey by 9 points!
[1]
gopher://gopher.conman.org/0Phlog:2007/02/18.2
[2]
https://web.archive.org/web/20071004060523/http://members.bellatlantic.net/~vze3fs8i/air/Elections.htm
[3]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clinton_Foundation#Transparency
Email author at
[email protected]