Subj : Re: President Trump
To : Aaron Thomas
From : Ron L.
Date : Sun Jun 01 2025 10:10 am
-=> Aaron Thomas wrote to Dr. What <=-
AT> It might be a psychological thing, but either way, it's working.
Psychological effects are strong, and very often work.
AT> My own personal research suggests that the N95 masks prevent illness.
But we have to beware of confirmational bias here.
Example:
A teacher hears a child in her class sneeze. The next day, 5 kids in the class
are sick. To the teacher, that's confirmation that viruses exist and are
contageous.
But that confirmation is biased because the teacher has ignored the hundred
other times that a child sneezed and **no** kids got sick. Because it was a
non-event, while 5 children out sick at once was something that stuck in the
teacher's head.
... You are in a maze of twisty little programs, all alike.
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