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lite.cnn.com - on gopher - inofficial | |
ARTICLE VIEW: | |
Ukraine is stepping up attacks on Russian energy - and it’s working | |
By Tim Lister and Daria Tarasova-Markina, CNN | |
Updated: | |
6:07 AM EDT, Sun August 24, 2025 | |
Source: CNN | |
A dramatic rise in Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil refineries has sent | |
gasoline prices in Russia to record highs, despite the government | |
banning petrol exports to cope with the crunch. | |
Ukraine is focusing drone attacks on refineries, pumping stations and | |
fuel trains in an effort to hurt the Russian war machine - but also to | |
disrupt daily life in Russia. Summer sees peak demand among Russia’s | |
drivers and farmers for petrol. | |
Ukrainian drones have struck at least ten key Russian energy facilities | |
this month alone, according to a CNN tally of attacks. | |
The latest, on Sunday, targeted a complex near St. Petersburg, setting | |
off an extensive fire, according to geolocated video. The regional | |
governor, Alexander Drozdenko, said fuel tanks at a port nearby had not | |
been affected. | |
The strategy seems to be working. The refineries struck account for | |
more than 44 million tons of products annually – more than 10% of | |
Russia’s capacity - according to Ukraine’s intelligence service. | |
Among the targets - the giant Lukoil refinery in Volgograd, the largest | |
in southern Russia. CNN geolocated billowing from the plant, which was | |
struck in the early hours of August 14. The Russian defense ministry | |
acknowledged damage to the plant, which was attacked again on August | |
19. | |
A large refinery in , also in southern Russia, was attacked earlier | |
this month. And fires Saturday at another refinery – in Rostov region | |
– more than two days after it was hit, according to Robert Brovdi, | |
Commander of Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems. | |
Gasoline shortages are reported in several Russian regions and in | |
annexed Crimea. Its Russia-appointed governor, attributed gasoline | |
shortages to “logistics issues,” and said the government was | |
“taking all possible measures to purchase the necessary volumes of | |
fuel and stabilize prices.” | |
An activist with a pro-Ukrainian group in Crimea, – Yellow Ribbon, - | |
said on that the most popular grade of petrol had disappeared, and | |
“the understanding that this is the result of the good drones work on | |
the Russian economy does not allow me to be sad.” | |
Despite government subsidies, Russian consumers are paying more at the | |
pump. Wholesale petrol prices on the have risen by nearly 10% this | |
month alone, and by about 50% since the beginning of the year. | |
Much of that increase is being passed on to consumers, with the Russian | |
far east especially impacted. Analysts expect no relief for at least a | |
month, even though the Russian government imposed a ban on exporting | |
petrol in late July - which in turn contributed to a rise in exports of | |
crude oil instead. | |
“Unfortunately, our forecast is unfavorable for now — we will most | |
likely have to wait at least another month for prices to fall,” | |
Sergey Frolov, managing partner at NEFT Research, told the Russian | |
newspaper Kommersant said that the surge in prices this month was | |
“due to accidents at oil refineries.” | |
The military is less affected because its demand is mainly for diesel, | |
supplies of which are less impacted. | |
A new focus | |
The Ukrainian military and intelligence services have developed | |
long-range warfare using drones, missiles and even as a very different | |
conflict unfolds on the ground. The military claimed this month that | |
long-range attacks this year have , with nearly 40% of strikes at | |
least 500 kilometers inside Russia. | |
It’s not possible to verify such claims, but there is plenty of | |
visual evidence of the damage done to refineries, storage tanks and | |
pumping stations in recent months. Repairing such infrastructure is | |
complicated by European and US sanctions. | |
In a report on Thursday, Ukraine’s foreign intelligence service said | |
that Russian companies were urgently purchasing petroleum from Belarus | |
to address domestic shortages. The state-owned refiner in Belarus, , | |
says that in the last week “interest in Belarusian oil products on | |
the Russian market has surged.” | |
Ukraine is also trying to impede Russian exports of oil. Last week its | |
drones struck the Druzhba pipeline that supplies Russian oil to Hungary | |
and Slovakia – two EU countries whose governments remain on good | |
terms with Moscow. | |
Both complained to the EU, saying that “with these attacks Ukraine is | |
not primarily hurting Russia, but Hungary and Slovakia.” | |
US President Donald Trump also intervened, saying in a to Hungarian | |
Prime Minister Viktor Orban that he was “very angry” about the | |
disruption. | |
But for Ukraine, under pressure on the frontlines, attacks on | |
Russia’s vital energy industry are a way to counter Moscow’s | |
narrative that its victory is ultimately inevitable. | |
Ukraine is trying to add to its arsenal of long-range weapons and last | |
week unveiled a domestically produced cruise missile called the | |
Flamingo. The manufacturer aims to produce 200 a month. | |
Missile expert Fabian Hoffman says that for a soft target such as | |
distillation columns of Russian refineries, for example, the | |
Flamingo’s lethal radius would be upwards of 38 meters. That would | |
cause substantial damage. | |
“Each missile that successfully hits its target will cause much more | |
damage [than existing Ukrainian weapons] with its 1,150-kilogram | |
warhead,” says Mick Ryan, author of the blog Futura Doctrina. | |
“While I would not call it a silver bullet, it will have a | |
significant impact on Ukraine’s capacity to hurt Russia,” not least | |
because it’s hard to defend every oil refinery. | |
In the meantime, analysts do not expect thousands of Russian gas | |
stations to run dry but believe the disruption will aggravate already | |
high inflation and likely mean an extension of the ban on gasoline | |
exports into the autumn, as the Kremlin tries to tamp down prices and | |
ensure supply. | |
CNN’s Annoa Abekah-Mensah contributed to this report | |
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