Subj : Re: President Trump
To : Ron L.
From : Aaron Thomas
Date : Sun Jun 01 2025 04:18 pm
RL> But we have to beware of confirmational bias here.
RL>
RL> Example:
RL> A teacher hears a child in her class sneeze. The next day, 5 kids in
RL> the class are sick. To the teacher, that's confirmation that viruses
RL> exist and are contageous.
RL>
RL> But that confirmation is biased because the teacher has ignored the
RL> hundred other times that a child sneezed and **no** kids got sick.
RL> Because it was a non-event, while 5 children out sick at once was
RL> something that stuck in the teacher's head.
Whenever possible, it's good to use the pychology to your advantage. A kid sneezed? Just say to yourself "It's allergies."
