(C) Daily Kos
This story was originally published by Daily Kos and is unaltered.
. . . . . . . . . .



Ukraine Invasion Day 1,047: more RU glide bombs strike residential areas [1]

['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.']

Date: 2025-01-04

Russian forces conducted a series of drone and missile strikes against Ukraine during the day on January 3 and overnight on January 3 to 4.

Russians lose up to battalion of infantry near village of Makhnovka in Kursk Oblast, including DPRK soldiers – Zelenskyy

The Ukrainian Air Force reported that Russian forces launched five S-300 air defense missiles at Ukrainian positions in Kursk Oblast; three Iskander-M ballistic missiles at Chernihiv Oblast; three Kh-59/69 cruise missiles at Dnipropetrovsk Oblast; and 32 Shahed and decoy drones from the northeastern direction during the day on January 3.[57] The Ukrainian Air Force stated that Ukrainian forces downed three Kh-59/69 cruise missiles and 13 drones, and that 19 drones were ”lost,” likely due to Ukrainian electronic warfare (EW) interference, as of 2000 local time. Ukrainian officials reported that Russian forces conducted three missile strikes on a single residential building on the outskirts of Chernihiv City within just a few hours on the afternoon of January 3, damaging the surrounding houses and killing one civilian.[58] The Ukrainian Air Force reported on January 4 that Russian forces launched 81 Shahed and decoy drones from Bryansk, Kursk, and Oryol oblasts and Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Krasnodar Krai overnight on January 3 to 4.[59] The Ukrainian Air Force stated that Ukrainian forces downed 34 drones over Poltava, Sumy, Kharkiv, Kyiv, Chernihiv, Kirovohrad, Dnipropetrovsk, Odesa, and Mykolaiv oblasts and that 47 drones were ”lost,” likely due to Ukrainian electronic warfare (EW) interference, as of 0900 local time. The Ukrainian Air Force reported that debris from downed drones damaged residential homes in Chernihiv and Sumy oblasts. The Ukrainian Pivnich (Northern) Operational Command reported on January 4 that most likely a Russian Shahed drone damaged two industrial locations in Stari Borovychi, Chernihiv Oblast.[60] Ukrainian forces struck a gas terminal at the Ust-Luga port in Leningrad Oblast on the night of January 3 to 4. Geolocated footage published on January 4 shows damage to the Novatek gas terminal in Ust-Luga, Leningrad Oblast following a Ukrainian drone strike.[11] Russian opposition outlet Astra reported that its sources stated that Russian forces shot down most of the drones over the port terminal of Novatek subsidiary Novatrans LLC, causing minor damage to a building at the port.[12] Leningrad Oblast Governor Alexander Drozdenko claimed that Russian forces downed three drones near Luga Bay but that there was no damage.[13] Drozdenko claimed that Russian forces destroyed a total of four drones over Leningrad Oblast.[14] The Ust-Luga sea trade port is the second largest in Russia after Novorossiysk, Krasnodar Krai, and Ukrainian forces conducted a successful drone strike against the Novatek gas terminal at the port in January 2024.[15] Astra reported that its sources in the Russian emergency services stated that Ukrainian forces targeted the Baltimore Air Base in Voronezh City with at least five drones on the night of January 3 to 4 and that Russian forces shot down all the drones.[16] Voronezh Oblast Governor Alexander Gusev claimed that Russian forces destroyed at least five drones over Voronezh City overnight and that several drones fell on residential buildings.[17] Astra also reported on January 4 that its sources in the Kursk Oblast emergency services stated that a Ukrainian HIMARS strike against Ivanovskoye, Kursk Oblast on January 2 killed seven Russian servicemembers.[18] Ukrainian and Russian sources previously stated that the strike targeted a command post of the Russian 810th Naval Infantry Brigade (Black Sea Fleet [BSF], Southern Military District [SMD]).[19]

Russian ambassador to the UN Vasily Nebenzya told the state-controlled Russia 1 channel on Friday that the Trump team had not presented any "interesting" plan about the war in Ukraine. The Wall Street Journal had reported Trump's plan could include delaying Kyiv's NATO membership by 20 years in exchange for continued arms supplies from the West and European peacekeepers to monitor a ceasefire. While this has not been confirmed and speculation about the Trump team's plans will continue ahead of the president-elect entering the White House on January 20, Moscow looks like it has little time for what has been reportedly presented so far. "President (Vladimir) Putin last outlined our conditions for ending the conflict on December 19," Nebenzya said, according to the Kyiv Independent. "So far, nothing from the incoming U.S. administration suggests anything of interest to us." www.newsweek.com/…

Key Takeaways: Ukrainian forces reportedly destroyed or damaged over 3,000 Russian tanks and almost 9,000 armored vehicles in 2024 as Russia continues to accrue vehicle losses that are likely unsustainable in the medium-term.

Russian forces have reportedly been using fewer armored vehicles in assaults in the most active areas of the frontline in recent weeks, possibly in order to conserve these vehicles as Soviet stocks dwindle.

Ukrainian forces struck a gas terminal at the Ust-Luga port in Leningrad Oblast on the night of January 3 to 4.

Ukrainian forces recently regained lost positions near Kreminna and likely maintain positions near Kurakhove.

Russian forces recently advanced near Kreminna, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Kurakhove.

The Russian government continues to increase financial incentives in order to boost the recruitment of military personnel.

Ukrainian forces reportedly destroyed or damaged over 3,000 Russian tanks and almost 9,000 armored vehicles in 2024 as Russia continues to accrue vehicle losses that are likely unsustainable in the medium-term. Data from the Ukrainian General Staff indicates that Ukrainian forces destroyed or damaged 3,689 tanks, 8,956 infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs), 13,050 artillery systems, and 407 air defense systems between January 1, 2024 and January 1, 2025.[1] Russian forces reportedly lost at least 197 tanks, 661 armored personnel carriers (APCs), and 65 artillery systems larger than 100mm throughout the frontline during a period of intensified offensive operations in Donetsk Oblast in September and October 2024 and likely sustained a higher rate of tank and armored vehicle losses in June and July 2024 when Russian forces were conducting mechanized assaults in western Donetsk Oblast several times a week that often resulted in armored vehicle losses.[2] Russia's current armored vehicle and tank production rates indicate that such losses will likely be prohibitive over the longer term, particularly as Russia continues to dip into its Soviet-era stocks.[3] Ukrainian military observer Kostyantyn Mashovets stated in February 2024 that the Russian defense industrial base (DIB) can produce 250-300 "new and thoroughly modernized" tanks per year and can repair roughly 250-300 additional damaged tanks per year, far below Ukraine's estimate of 3,600 Russian tanks lost in 2024.[4] The British International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) think tank also reported in February 2024 that Russia is likely able to sustain its rate of vehicle losses at that time (over 3,000 armored fighting vehicles including tanks, armored personnel carriers, and infantry fighting vehicles annually as of 2023 and nearly 8,800 between February 2022 and February 2024) for at least two to three years (until about February 2026 or 2027) by mainly refurbishing vehicles from Soviet-era storage facilities.[5] A social media source tracking Russian military depots via satellite imagery shared an updated assessment of Russian tank and armored vehicle storage facilities on December 22 and assessed that Russian forces have 47 percent of their pre-war tank reserves, 52 percent of pre-war infantry fighting vehicle reserves, and 45 percent of pre-war armored personnel carrier reserves remaining in storage as of a recent unspecified date.[6] The social media source noted that Russian forces have used most of their newer T-90 and T-80 tanks but still have a majority of their older tanks in storage, although some of these tanks have likely been heavily degraded by weather and time. It appears increasingly unlikely that the Russian military can sustain its current annual rate of almost 9,000 armored vehicle losses through 2025. This loss rate is nearly three times the annual loss rate of the first two years of the war according to IISS, suggesting that the February 2024 IISS estimate that Russia can sustain its vehicle losses through 2025 and possibly 2026 is no longer valid. understandingwar.org/... x YouTube Video

x YouTube Video

Russian forces continued offensive operations along Ukraine’s salient in Kursk Oblast on January 4, but there were no confirmed changes to the frontline. ...A servicemember of a Ukrainian brigade operating in Kursk Oblast reported that Russian forces are sending most newly trained Russian personnel to fight in either Kursk Oblast or western Donetsk Oblast.[21] The servicemember reported that Russian forces are conducting assaults in small groups using light vehicles, motorcycles, buggies, and scooters in Kursk Oblast. Elements of the Russian 106th Airborne (VDV) Division are reportedly operating near Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka (both southeast of Korenevo).[22] Elements of the Russian 83rd and 11th VDV brigades reportedly continue operating in Kursk Oblast, and artillery elements of the Russian 1434th "Akhmat-Chechnya” Regiment are reportedly operating near Martynovka (northeast of Sudzha).[23] understandingwar.org/... x x YouTube Video understandingwar.org/... understandingwar.org/... x YouTube Video understandingwar.org/... understandingwar.org/... understandingwar.org/...

[END]
---
[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/1/4/2295124/-Ukraine-Invasion-Day-1-047-more-RU-glide-bombs-strike-residential-areas?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=trending&pm_medium=web

Published and (C) by Daily Kos
Content appears here under this condition or license: Site content may be used for any purpose without permission unless otherwise specified.

via Magical.Fish Gopher News Feeds:
gopher://magical.fish/1/feeds/news/dailykos/

You are viewing proxied material from magical.fish. The copyright of proxied material belongs to its original authors. Any comments or complaints in relation to proxied material should be directed to the original authors of the content concerned. Please see the disclaimer for more details.